The Westpac share price was crushed in February: Should you buy the dip?

Do analysts think that February's weakness is a buying opportunity? Let's find out.

| More on:
Nervous customer in discussions at a bank.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) share price was out of form in February.

Over the course of the month, Westpac's shares lost 5.7% of their value.

However, that is only telling half the story.

After roaring higher and higher for the past 12 months, the banking giant's shares hit a multi-year high of $35.27 in the middle of February before sinking deep into the red.

This means that from its high, the Westpac share price was down almost 10%.

But why did this happen? Let's see what caused investors to hit the sell button in February.

Why did the Westpac share price crash in February?

The catalyst for the selling was the release of Australia's oldest bank's first quarter update.

That update failed to demonstrate why Westpac shares deserved to be smashing the market over the past 12 months and trading on significantly higher than average multiples.

For the three months ended 31 December, Westpac revealed that its net interest income fell 6% for including notable items but rose 1% excluding them. Non-interest income was up 9% excluding notable items thanks to higher financial market revenue.

On the bottom line, Westpac recorded an unaudited net profit of $1.7 billion during the quarter. Whereas excluding notable items, the big four bank posted a net profit of $1.9 billion. This represents a 3% increase on the quarterly average during the second half of FY 2024.

The key metric that a lot of investors watch is the net interest margin (NIM). Westpac revealed that its core NIM was down 2 basis points to 1.81%.

Management notes that a provision release in second half of FY 2024 contributed 1 basis point to the margin decline. The balance relates to ongoing mortgage competition and further deposit mix shift towards lower spread savings and term deposits.

Combined with a series of underwhelming results from the rest of the banks, this appears to have led to some investors locking in their gains and rotating out of the sector.

Should you invest?

Despite February's weakness, the broker community largely believes that the Westpac share price remains overvalued.

For example, in response to its quarterly update, Macquarie, Morgan Stanley, and Ord Minnett have all put the equivalent of sell ratings on its shares with price targets of $28.00, $29.20, and $27.00, respectively. This implies potential downside of approximately 8% to 15%.

The outlier is UBS which reaffirmed its buy rating with a lofty $40.00 price target.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

Bank building with the word bank on it.
Bank Shares

Is this the secret sauce that's driving CBA shares' success?

Could this be the reason why CBA has been so successful?

Read more »

Bank building in a financial district.
Bank Shares

3 reasons to sell CBA shares today

A leading expert cites three key reasons CBA shares could fall in 2025.

Read more »

A woman looks questioning as she puts a coin into a piggy bank.
Bank Shares

The pros and cons of buying Westpac shares right now

The bank has fallen in price. Is it now great value?

Read more »

Bank building with the word bank in gold.
Bank Shares

NAB shares are trailing the other big 4 banks in 2025. Why?

What’s going on with NAB shares this year?

Read more »

A woman is making her move on the chess table in moody light.
Bank Shares

Westpac shares down nearly 4% this year as bank plots its next move

What's the banking giant been up to?

Read more »

Happy young woman saving money in a piggy bank.
Bank Shares

$10,000 invested in Westpac shares 12 months ago is now

Let's see how an investment in Australia's oldest bank a year ago has fared.

Read more »

Happy couple at Bank ATM machine.
Bank Shares

The pros and cons of buying CBA shares after the correction

Thinking of buying CBA shares after the recent pullback? Read this.

Read more »

A young bank customer wearing a yellow jumper smiles as she checks her bank balance on her phone.
ETFs

Can't decide which big four bank? You don't have to with this ASX ETF

This fund gives investors easy access to the banking sector.

Read more »