The Westpac share price was crushed in February: Should you buy the dip?

Do analysts think that February's weakness is a buying opportunity? Let's find out.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) share price was out of form in February.

Over the course of the month, Westpac's shares lost 5.7% of their value.

However, that is only telling half the story.

After roaring higher and higher for the past 12 months, the banking giant's shares hit a multi-year high of $35.27 in the middle of February before sinking deep into the red.

This means that from its high, the Westpac share price was down almost 10%.

But why did this happen? Let's see what caused investors to hit the sell button in February.

Nervous customer in discussions at a bank.

Image source: Getty Images

Why did the Westpac share price crash in February?

The catalyst for the selling was the release of Australia's oldest bank's first quarter update.

That update failed to demonstrate why Westpac shares deserved to be smashing the market over the past 12 months and trading on significantly higher than average multiples.

For the three months ended 31 December, Westpac revealed that its net interest income fell 6% for including notable items but rose 1% excluding them. Non-interest income was up 9% excluding notable items thanks to higher financial market revenue.

On the bottom line, Westpac recorded an unaudited net profit of $1.7 billion during the quarter. Whereas excluding notable items, the big four bank posted a net profit of $1.9 billion. This represents a 3% increase on the quarterly average during the second half of FY 2024.

The key metric that a lot of investors watch is the net interest margin (NIM). Westpac revealed that its core NIM was down 2 basis points to 1.81%.

Management notes that a provision release in second half of FY 2024 contributed 1 basis point to the margin decline. The balance relates to ongoing mortgage competition and further deposit mix shift towards lower spread savings and term deposits.

Combined with a series of underwhelming results from the rest of the banks, this appears to have led to some investors locking in their gains and rotating out of the sector.

Should you invest?

Despite February's weakness, the broker community largely believes that the Westpac share price remains overvalued.

For example, in response to its quarterly update, Macquarie, Morgan Stanley, and Ord Minnett have all put the equivalent of sell ratings on its shares with price targets of $28.00, $29.20, and $27.00, respectively. This implies potential downside of approximately 8% to 15%.

The outlier is UBS which reaffirmed its buy rating with a lofty $40.00 price target.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

A woman looks quizzical while looking at a dollar sign in the air.
Bank Shares

$10,000 invested in CBA shares 5 years ago is now really worth…

CBA shares have outpaced the ASX 200 and inflation over the past five years. But by how much?

Read more »

A pink piggybank sits in a pile of autumn leaves.
Bank Shares

The RBA just held rates at 4.35%. Here's what it means for these ASX bank shares

The RBA held rates yesterday. Here's what that decision means for these ASX banks shares.

Read more »

A man thinks very carefully about his money and investments.
Bank Shares

Buying Macquarie shares? Here's the dividend yield you'll get today

Macquarie isn't your ordinary ASX bank stock.

Read more »

Excited group of friends watching sports on TV and celebrating.
Bank Shares

Macquarie shares climb to fresh all-time high: Buy, sell or hold?

Macquarie shares are now 23% higher for the year to date.

Read more »

View of a business man's hand passing a $100 note to another with a bank in the background.
Dividend Investing

If I invest $5,000 in CBA shares today, what passive income would I get in FY27?

Here's your potential income based on the latest dividend forecasts.

Read more »

Businesswoman working from home with stock market chart showing percent change on her laptop screen.
Bank Shares

Should I invest $5,000 into NAB shares?

This major ASX bank share has fallen a long way from its high, but I think the market may be…

Read more »

View from below of a banker jumping for joy in the CBD surrounded by high-rise office buildings.
Bank Shares

What does the RBA decision mean for the big four bank shares?

Here's what to expect for ASX bank shares after yesterday's decision.

Read more »

Gold piggy bank on top of Australian notes.
Bank Shares

Here's the dividend forecast out to 2027 for CBA shares

CBA has been one of the most reliable blue-chips for dividends.

Read more »