Do ANZ shares represent the best-value major bank right now?

Is ANZ the best choice in the banking sector?

ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ) shares regularly trade at a different price-earnings (P/E) ratio compared to other major ASX bank shares. Investors often like to equate a lower P/E ratio to being better value.

It's common to see ANZ shares trade at a lower P/E ratio than other banks, particularly Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA).

It'll be interesting to compare how ANZ shares are valued to CBA shares, as well as National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) shares and Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) shares.

Let's compare what the current valuations are, according to forecasts from UBS.

Woman and man calculating a dividend yield.

Image source: Getty Images

ASX bank share valuations

While earnings forecasts are not guaranteed to come true, I think some analysts' forecasts are generally fairly close to what the numbers end up being.  

UBS predicts that ANZ could generate $7.2 billion of net profit in FY25. That means the ANZ share price is valued at 12x FY25's estimated earnings.

The broker forecasts that CBA could generate a net profit of $10.3 billion in FY25, which is 25x FY25's estimated earnings.

UBS is projecting that Westpac could make $7.04 billion of net profit in the 2025 financial year. This puts the Westpac share price at 16x FY25's estimated earnings.

The broker suggests that NAB may generate $7.25 billion of net profit. That means the NAB share price is valued at 15x FY25's estimated earnings.

It's clear that ANZ shares are trading at a cheaper earnings multiple than peers. So, if investors are looking for the major bank with the lowest P/E ratio, ANZ is the winner.

But, there are reasons why investors may want to pay more for other banks.

Why ANZ shares may not be a great buy

UBS is expecting the profit of CBA, NAB, and Westpac to rise in each of the upcoming financial years between FY25 and FY29.

However, according to UBS, ANZ shareholders could see their bank's profit decline in FY26 and fall below $7 billion by FY28.

ANZ's leadership may be distracted by the recent acquisition of Suncorp Bank, which could take significant attention and efforts to integrate that business.

Another negative is that ANZ's dividends are not fully franked, so the taxation benefits are less useful than those from CBA, Westpac, and NAB. In my mind, NAB and Westpac shares would make a better buy than ANZ if their profits grow and ANZ's don't.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

Four business people wearing formal business suits and ties walk abreast on a wide paved surface with their long shadows falling on the ground ahead of them.
Bank Shares

Westpac vs Macquarie Group: Which bank is better value now?

Westpac vs Macquarie Group: which bank share offers Aussies better value for October? Here’s how the heavyweights compare on dividends,…

Read more »

Australian dollar notes in businessman pocket suit, symbolising ex dividend day.
Bank Shares

If I invest $8,000 in CBA shares, what passive income could I earn in FY27 and FY28?

Brokers aren't too bullish about the outlook for the bank shares over the next 12 months, but its passive income…

Read more »

Couple using their digital tablet together.
Bank Shares

Are CBA shares still worth buying near $150?

I look at whether the recent pullback has made this major bank more attractive today.

Read more »

Bank written on a brown building.
Bank Shares

Westpac vs NAB shares: Which big bank is the better buy?

I compare Westpac and NAB shares for value, yield and momentum – here’s which bank I’d buy now.

Read more »

A man in a suit smiles at the yellow piggy bank he holds in his hand.
Bank Shares

If I invest $10,000 in CBA shares today, what could they be worth in October 2027?

Find out what brokers expect next out of CBA shares.

Read more »

Piles of increasing coins on Australian $100 notes.
Bank Shares

By October 2027, $5,000 invested in this ASX bank stock could turn into…

Guess how much upside is expected out of this ASX stock!

Read more »

Happy young woman saving money in a piggy bank.
Bank Shares

If I invest $10,000 in ANZ shares, what passive income could I receive in FY27?

Are you invested into ANZ shares? Here's what you could earn.

Read more »

Four business people wearing formal business suits and ties walk abreast on a wide paved surface with their long shadows falling on the ground ahead of them.
Bank Shares

Are ASX 200 bank stocks a buy in October?

Find out what analysts are forecasting for bank shares over the next 12 months.

Read more »