Why Nvidia stock continues to plunge ahead of earnings

Nvidia stock has been range-bound as investors fear its explosive sales growth may be coming to an end.

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This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) will shortly release one of Wall Street's most highly anticipated earnings reports. The artificial intelligence (AI) chip leader has outpaced its own guidance by a wide margin all year.

Yet investors have been selling the stock in droves lately. Shares are down more than 15% since 6 January, including a 2.8% decline on Tuesday.

The catalyst for Tuesday's drop may be from investors thinking Nvidia's trend of exceeding sales forecasts may soon come to an end. That's because the Trump administration is reportedly seeking to further tighten restrictions on U.S. semiconductor chip sales to China.

Nvidia's impressive sales streak

Nvidia has repeatedly beaten its own sales expectations as large tech companies line up to purchase its advanced AI chips and software platforms. Companies need Nvidia's advanced hardware to build smarter and more complex AI models.

Driven by its robust data centre segment, Nvidia has beaten the midpoint of its own sales guidance by at least $2 billion in each of its first three fiscal 2025 quarters. It expects fiscal fourth-quarter sales of about $37.5 billion. That's up from the $35.1 billion it reported in the prior quarter. It's also 70% higher than the $22.1 billion in revenue recorded in the prior year period.

But reports on Tuesday said that the Trump administration is looking to tighten the controls on advanced AI chip sales to China begun under former President Biden. Nvidia has been able to continue selling its older or modified chips under the previous restrictions as demand remained strong even for that hardware.

Tighter restrictions meant to limit China's technological prowess could impact Nvidia's sales growth. New regulations haven't yet been announced, so CEO Jensen Huang may not even discuss the topic with Nvidia's earnings report release.

What's ahead for Nvidia stock?

But some investors may be happy taking profits after Nvidia's amazing 440% gain over the last three years. I think Nvidia's market for those chips, as well as its other products, is big enough to navigate any of those headwinds, and more growth lies ahead.

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

Howard Smith has positions in Nvidia. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Nvidia. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Nvidia. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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