Why did the CSL share price go backwards in 2024?

CSL shares closed out 2024 in the red. But why?

| More on:
Scientists working in the laboratory and examining results.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The CSL Ltd (ASX: CSL) share price underperformed the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) in 2024.

While the benchmark index gained around 7.5% in the year just past, shares in the ASX 200 biotech stock closed down approximately 1.2%, trading for $286.65 a share on 31 January. Though that doesn't include the $3.97 a share in unfranked dividends eligible investors will have received over the year.

Here's why the CSL share price looks to have caught some headwinds.

Why did the CSL share price lag the ASX 200 in 2024?

Heading into August, the ASX 200 biotech stock was well up for the calendar year.

On 12 August, the CSL share price closed the day in the green at $308.93.

But things took a turn for the worse the following day, when the company released its FY 2024 results, the last price sensitive news we've had to date.

Amid high expectations for those results, the CSL share price closed down 4.6% on the day.

Investors were favouring their sell buttons, and have continued to pressure the stock since, despite the company reporting an 11% year on year increase in revenue (in constant currency) to US$14.8 billion.

And profits were well up, with net profit after tax before amortisation (NPATA) in constant currency up 15% to US$3.01 billion.

This saw management boost the full year dividend payout by 12% from FY 2023 levels.

But with some brokers having forecast moderately stronger financial metrics, even the company's growth outlook for FY 2025 failed to boost the CSL share price, which is now down some 8% since 12 August.

As for that FY 2025 outlook, management forecast year on year revenue growth in the range of 5% to 7% in constant currency. And NPATA is expected to come in between US$3.2 billion to US$3.3 billion in constant currency. That's 10% to 13% above FY 2024 levels.

Commenting on the company's outlook at the time, CSL CEO Paul McKenzie said:

The momentum in our CSL Behring business is expected to continue to be underpinned by the strong patient demand in our immunoglobulins franchise…

Over the medium term, CSL is in a strong position to continue to deliver annualised double-digit earnings growth.

McKenzie also highlighted that the company has "a number of initiatives underway in plasma collections and our manufacturing operations that will continue to drive efficiencies and lead to an improving CSL Behring gross margin".

The CSL share price is flat in early afternoon trade today, with shares trading for $283.43 apiece.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended CSL. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended CSL. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Healthcare Shares

Sell and buy on red cubes on a digital screen.
Technology Shares

This ASX 200 high-flyer dropped 15%, is it time to jump in?

Analysts remain positive due to the company's strong fundamentals.

Read more »

Focused man entrepreneur with glasses working, looking at laptop screen thinking about something intently while sitting in the office.
Healthcare Shares

Are CSL shares a buy after their heavy decline?

Let's see what one broker is saying about the biotech giant.

Read more »

Scientists working in the laboratory and examining results.
Healthcare Shares

Why are Telix Pharmaceuticals shares diving today?

Shares in this up-and-coming drug company are under pressure over law suits filed in the US.

Read more »

A young woman wearing a red and white striped t-shirt puts her hand to her chin and looks sideways as she wonders whether to buy ASX shares
Healthcare Shares

CSL, Sonic, and Sigma Healthcare shares: Buy, hold, or sell?

Analysts share their ratings and opinions on 3 large-cap ASX 200 healthcare stocks.

Read more »

young female doctor with digital tablet looking confused.
Healthcare Shares

Down 38% in a year, are CSL shares now a buy?

A leading investment expert delivers his verdict on CSL shares.

Read more »

A woman holds her hand out under a graphic hologram image of a human brain with brightly lit segments and section points.
Healthcare Shares

This Cochlear-backed ASX aspirant will be targeting an epilepsy market worth north of $1 billion

This company is looking to raise $125 million to help commercialise its epilepsy monitoring technology.

Read more »

Surgeon looking at a monitor in an operating room.
Share Market News

Is the only way up for this ASX small-cap healthcare stock?

Bigger returns could be coming for this ambitious small-cap.

Read more »

Female scientist working in a laboratory.
Healthcare Shares

Monash IVF has named a new Managing Director to help right the ship

Monash IVF has named a new leader, but she will not start in the top job for some time.

Read more »