Buy this ASX 300 energy stock now for a 40% return

Bell Potter has good things to say about this gas explorer and developer.

| More on:
Female oil worker in front of a pumpjack.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Australian share market provides investors with a number of options in the energy sector.

One ASX 300 energy stock that could be a good option for investors with a higher tolerance for risk is Strike Energy Ltd (ASX: STX).

That's the view of analysts at Bell Potter, which are tipping the gas exploration and development company's shares to rocket from current levels.

What is the broker saying about this ASX 300 energy stock?

According to a note released this morning, the broker was pleased to see that Strike Energy has decided to push ahead with the South Erregulla Peaking Gas Power Station.

This new development is on budget and now expected to generate higher revenues than previously forecast. Commenting on the new development, the broker said:

STX has announced a positive Final Investment Decision for its South Erregulla Peaking Gas Power Station (100% STX). The 85MW facility is budgeted to cost $137m (previously guided to $120-160m) and will be funded from STX's $217m debt finance facility and existing free cash flow (Walyering).

STX now estimate the project to generate annual revenue of $50-55m (previously guided to $40-50m), has a pre-tax NPV of $250m and an IRR of 27%. The power station will be supplied by STX's South Erregulla field at a rate of around 2PJpa (from 82PJ 2P Reserves & 2C Resources). STX expect to commission the plant before October 2026.

Big return potential

In response to the news, the broker has reaffirmed its speculative buy rating and 29 cents price target on the ASX 300 energy stock.

Based on its current share price of 20.5 cents, this implies potential upside of 41% for investors over the next 12 months.

Bell Potter likes the company due to its exposure to the Western Australia energy market, which is expected to experience supply deficits for the remainder of the decade. It said:

Cash flows from the producing Walyering field support STX's growth via the potential SE power facility and West Erregulla (50% STX) gas developments. These projects are all linked to the Western Australia energy market, where gas and electricity prices have recently strengthened, and supply deficits are expected over the rest of the decade. Our heavily risked valuation of $0.29/sh (unchanged) supports a Speculative Buy recommendation.

All in all, this could make the ASX 300 energy stock a good option for high risk investors that are looking for big returns and exposure to the energy sector right now.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Energy Shares

Oil rig worker standing with a clipboard.
Energy Shares

Should you be worried about this 'Achilles' heel' for ASX 200 energy shares?

After a tough 2024, ASX 200 oil and gas stocks could face ongoing pressure in 2025.

Read more »

A male investor sits at his desk looking at his laptop screen with his hand to his chin pondering whether to buy Origin shares
Energy Shares

Guess which top 100 ASX stock this $139 billion superannuation fund ditched

UniSuper has ditched this popular retirement stock.

Read more »

Workers inspecting a gas pipeline.
Energy Shares

What can investors expect from Santos shares in FY25?

Let's run through the numbers.

Read more »

two men in hard hats and high visibility jackets look together at a laptop screen that one of the men in holding at a mine site.
Energy Shares

What's the outlook for Paladin Energy shares in FY25?

The outlook is constructive, but risks linger.

Read more »

A young boy wearing a hat, sunnies and striped singlet looks fierce and flexes his arm in victory.
Energy Shares

Top broker says Boss Energy shares have 29% upside

Nuclear energy continues to be an emerging theme for investors.

Read more »

Two workers shake hands in front of an oil rig on the successful completion of a deal.
Energy Shares

Woodside shares lower despite big US news

What's going with this energy giant today? Let's find out what's happening.

Read more »

An oil worker in front of a pumpjack using a tablet PC.
Energy Shares

Top oil and gas stocks to buy now in Australia

Analysts believe that these stocks could energise portfolios with some big returns.

Read more »

Oil worker using a smartphone in front of an oil rig.
Energy Shares

1 Australian energy stock to buy confidently and 1 to avoid for now 

Time to power up.

Read more »