Up 150%: This high-flying ASX tech stock can keep rising

Bell Potter thinks investors should be buying this growing company.

| More on:
Man pointing an upward line on a bar graph symbolising a rising share price.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Gentrack Group Ltd (ASX: GTK) shares have been on fire over the past 12 months.

During this time, the ASX tech stock has risen by a staggering 150%.

This means that if you had invested $10,000 into the utilities and airport software company's shares a year ago, you would now have approximately $25,000.

But if you thought the gains were over, think again.

ASX tech stock tipped to keep rising

According to a note out of Bell Potter this morning, its analysts believe that Gentrack shares could still have plenty of upside.

In response to its full year results release this week, the broker said:

GTK reported a revenue beat ahead of guidance/BPe/consensus, growing +25% to $213m broad-based across operating units, recurring/non-recurring sources and regions. Margin was bottom of guidance range due to LTI costs ahead of expectations.

Bell Potter also highlights that the ASX tech stock's outlook is positive and sees upside risk to its guidance. It adds:

GTK reiterated its medium-term targets (15%+ rev. CAGR, margin 15%-20%), due to uncertain timing around potential deals closing and timing of revenue recognition in FY25. Upside risk to 15%+ revenue CAGR was flagged on the analyst call. EPS changes following the update include -16%/flat/+6% through FY25e/26e/27e, with FY25e/26e impacted by rolling off LTI costs, somewhat offset by slight revenue increases. We note forecast EPS CAGR of 56% b/w 24-27e.

Time to buy

The note reveals that Bell Potter has reaffirmed its buy rating on the company's shares with an improved price target of $13.90 (from $11.50).

Based on its current share price of $12.04, this implies potential upside of 15.5% for investors over the next 12 months.

Commenting on its buy recommendation, the broker said:

Our TP increases to A$13.90/sh on earnings leverage in future periods and reduction in WACC to 10.5% on decrease in market risk premium. We are bullish on GTK's ability to maintain customer win momentum in both ROW and Core markets, supporting high NRR revenues, flow on ARR, but masks 'true' EBITDA margin during growth phases. Customer win momentum is underpinned by rapidly shifting energy consumption and production trends, driving increased complexity within the grids which is meeting technical debt within legacy billing platforms.

All in all, the broker appears to believe that it isn't too late to snap up this ASX tech stock even if it has more than doubled in value since this time last year.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Gentrack Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Gentrack Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Technology Shares

A male ASX investor sits cross-legged with a laptop computer in his lap with a slightly crazed, happy, excited look on his face while next to him a graphic of a rocket shoots upwards with graphics of stars scattered around it
Technology Shares

Rocketboots rockets 80% on blockbuster global deal. Is this ASX small cap just getting started?

Rocketboots shares have jumped 80% after landing a major global contract that could transform its growth outlook.

Read more »

Military engineer works on drone
Technology Shares

2026 will be the 'Year of the Drone': Buy DroneShield shares

Bell Potter believes that this growing company could have a very big year.

Read more »

A woman in a red dress holding up a red graph.
Technology Shares

Shares in this small-cap education company have hit a fresh 12-month high on a lucrative contract win

A lucrative contract with the New Zealand Government has sent this company's shares sharply higher.

Read more »

Two IT professionals walk along a wall of mainframes in a data centre discussing various things
Technology Shares

This ASX 200 share is being labelled one of the market's most undervalued by brokers

NextDC shares have pulled back sharply, but brokers believe the long-term growth story remains firmly on track.

Read more »

A silhouette of a soldier flying a drone at sunset.
Technology Shares

This 10-bagger drone technology company has just won a lucrative new defence contract

This drone technology company's shares are up more than 10x for the year and are trading higher on a new…

Read more »

Army man and woman on digital devices.
Share Gainers

Guess which ASX 300 defence stock has already rocketed 51% this week (Hint, not DroneShield)

Investors have sent this ASX 300 defence stock flying this week. But why?

Read more »

A man walks dejectedly with his belongings in a cardboard box against a background of office-style venetian blinds as though he has been giving his marching orders from his place of employment.
Technology Shares

What on earth is going on with Xero shares?

Xero shares have tumbled 40%, leaving investors wondering what on earth is going on with the once high-flying tech favourite.

Read more »

Man flies flat above city skyline with rocket strapped to back
Technology Shares

Guess which ASX defence stock could rocket 100%+

Let's see what analysts at Bell Potter are saying about this high-risk, high-reward option.

Read more »