Down 40%: Is this cheap ASX 200 share a buy after its bombshell news?

Goldman Sachs thinks a total return of 30% is possible for investors from this stock.

| More on:
An older man wearing glasses and a pink shirt sits back on his lounge with his hands behind his head and blowing air out of his cheeks.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

On Tuesday, the Domino's Pizza Enterprises Ltd (ASX: DMP) share price came under pressure.

Investors were selling the ASX 200 share after its long-serving CEO, Don Meij, announced his exit. In addition, a softer than expected quarterly update weighed on sentiment.

This led to the pizza chain operator's shares ending the session 6% lower at $31.60.

In light of this, the Domino's share price is now down 40% since this time last year.

Does this make this beaten down share a cheap buy now? Or should investors steer clear? Let's find out.

Is this a cheap ASX 200 share to buy?

It's not often that a CEO steps down and analysts are happy. But according to the team at Goldman Sachs, they think that the exit of Domino's CEO should be viewed as a positive and a reason to buy.

Firstly, commenting on the ASX 200 share's trading update. The broker said:

DMP provided 17 weeks trading update with -1.2% SSS (+2.7% pcp), weaker vs GSe +2.8% 1H25e. That said, historically SSS can be divergent to sales/average store and our network sales (including store closures) for 1H25e is -0.9% and the Company did not provide an update to that. The key issue in our view remains the longer than expected turnaround of Japan and Europe (France and Germany).

As for Meij's exit, Goldman thinks that this is a positive step towards business turnaround. It adds:

Separately, we see Mr Don Meij's (CEO of 22yrs) retirement as not surprising as we believe the recent appointment of France and ANZ regional leadership removed the daily operational reliance on Mr Meij.

Meanwhile, given challenges faced by the company in its strategy execution over the past several years, including our view of over-expansion post COVID especially in Japan, under-investment in front-end consumer tech, and menu innovation resulting in market share losses, we think the management change could provide an opportune time for new leadership to revisit key growth strategies for a turnaround. Despite the operating volatility, we see the change in leadership as a positive step towards business turnaround.

Time to buy

In response to the above, the broker has retained it buy rating and $40.00 price target on the ASX 200 share.

Based on its current share price of $31.60, this implies potential upside of almost 27% for investors.

In addition, Goldman is forecasting a dividend yield of approximately 3.7% in FY 2025. This takes the total potential return beyond 30%.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Domino's Pizza Enterprises. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Domino's Pizza Enterprises and Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Domino's Pizza Enterprises. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Cheap Shares

A man thinks very carefully about his money and investments.
Cheap Shares

The 3 best undervalued ASX shares I'd pick up in January

3 high-quality ASX shares look undervalued as short-term concerns create potential long-term opportunities.

Read more »

A group of business people pump the air and cheer.
Cheap Shares

Still under $30, these wealth-builders may not stay cheap for long

Want to buy quality when it is cheap? Check out these options.

Read more »

Two people jump and high five above a city skyline.
Cheap Shares

2 beaten-down ASX shares to consider before they recover

These shares were sold off in 2025. Could they rebound in 2026?

Read more »

A financial expert or broker looks worried as he checks out a graph showing market volatility.
Cheap Shares

2 ASX shares these experts rate as a buy right now

Experts think these stocks are underrated buys.

Read more »

Woman dining at a table with oversized fork and knife in the hospitality industry.
Cheap Shares

Why I think this ASX small-cap stock is a bargain at $2.55

This stock looks eggcellent value to me.

Read more »

A man in his 30s with a clipped beard sits at his laptop on a desk with one finger to the side of his face and his chin resting on his thumb as he looks concerned while staring at his computer screen.
Cheap Shares

Could these ASX 200 losers be among the best shares to buy in 2026?

Is the stage set for a big rebound from these shares this year?

Read more »

A man has a surprised and relieved expression on his face.
Cheap Shares

3 phenomenal ASX stocks that could double in 2026

Analysts think these stocks could be dirt cheap after a difficult time in 2025.

Read more »

A man reacts with surprise when her see a bargain price on his phone.
Cheap Shares

2 unmissable ASX 300 shares that look too cheap to ignore!

I strongly believe these businesses are substantially undervalued.

Read more »