Does this concerning metric mean it's time to sell Mineral Resources shares?

Mineral Resources shares are catching headwinds on several fronts.

| More on:
A woman looks shocked as she drinks a coffee while reading the paper.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

It may be time to sell your Mineral Resources Ltd (ASX: MIN) shares.

That's according to Catapult Wealth's Dylan Evans.

And no, the fund manager's sell recommendation has nothing to do with the alleged tax evasion bombshell unleashed by Mineral Resources managing director Chris Ellison.

We'll get to those tax issues below.

But first…

Why it may be time to sell Mineral Resources shares

The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) lithium miner and diversified resources producer is racking up debt.

And that could pose a problem for Mineral Resources shares in the year ahead.

"This mining services company also operates several iron ore and lithium mines in Western Australia. Lithium prices have plunged since 2023, and iron ore prices remain under pressure," Evans explained (courtesy of The Bull).

Evans continued:

MIN recently sold a 49% interest in its Onslow iron haul road to Morgan Stanley Infrastructure Partners for $1.1 billion. MIN will receive an additional $200 million as a deferred cash settlement if tonnage conditions are met.

However, we remain concerned about elevated debt levels. The company reported net debt of $4.4 billion at its full year 2024 results.

Evans noted that Mineral Resources stock slid from $79.49 on 20 May to $49.11 on 17 October.

"There's upside if commodity prices rebound, but potential cash flow issues if the opposite transpires," he said.

What's happening with Chris Ellison and tax fraud allegations?

It may have been prudent to sell your Mineral Resources shares on Friday.

Shares in the ASX 200 miner are down 12.6% in late morning trade on Monday, trading for $40.09 apiece.

Today's selling pressure looks to be driven by revelations that Ellison did not properly report revenues for a number of companies registered in the British Virgin Islands, which were employed to buy mining equipment.

According to The Australian, Ellison's and the other unnamed executives' undeclared revenue may have totalled some $13 million.

Responding to the bombshell tax news, Ellison said (quoted by The Australian):

More than 20 years ago, and prior to MinRes's listing, we also operated entities overseas for acquiring mining equipment and parts to import into Australia and on sell. Some equipment, prior to MinRes's listing, was sold to our then-privately owned Australian businesses," he said.

Regrettably, revenue generated by the overseas entities that we were beneficiaries of was not disclosed to the ATO at that time. This was a poor decision and a serious lapse of judgment.

I have since voluntarily disclosed these matters to the ATO in full. All outstanding tax, penalties and interest that should otherwise have been paid by me has been fully repaid, and the matter has been settled with the ATO. These circumstances have also been disclosed to the MinRes board.

I deeply regret and apologise for these actions and have since ensured that I have put the matter right with the ATO.

With today's intraday losses factored in, Mineral Resources shares are now down 32.6% since this time last year.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

Iron ore price Vale dam collapse ASX shares iron ore, iron ore australia, iron ore price, commodity price,
Resources Shares

Buying Rio Tinto, Fortescue and BHP shares? Here's Westpac's sobering 2026 iron ore price forecast

What every investor in Rio Tinto, Fortescue, and BHP shares should know.

Read more »

A white EV car and an electric vehicle pump with green highlighted swirls representing ASX lithium shares
Resources Shares

3 reasons to buy this ASX 300 lithium share today

A leading investment analyst forecasts a big turnround for this well-funded ASX 300 lithium share.

Read more »

Image of young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Resources Shares

Bell Potter names two base metals companies which are worth a look

The broker has named two base metals miners it believes will outperform, with a focus on copper and nickel.

Read more »

Pile of copper pipes.
Resources Shares

This ASX 200 copper share is a buy – UBS

Mining analysts say this is a stock worth digging into.

Read more »

A gloved hand holds lumps of silver against a background of dirt as if at a mine site.
Resources Shares

Which Aussie silver company's shares are charging higher on positive news?

This company says the high silver price is changing the game for its South Australian silver project.

Read more »

A boy is about to rocket from a copper-coloured field of hay into the sky.
Resources Shares

Broker tips more than 15% upside for Orica shares after a "strong" start to the year

Orica shares are good buying at current levels, RBC Capital Markets says.

Read more »

Female miner in hard hat and safety vest on laptop with mining drill in background.
Resources Shares

Lynas shares: After a year of outperformance, is it still a buy?

Lynas investors have seen massive volatility. Is it a good time to buy?

Read more »

Iron ore price Vale dam collapse ASX shares iron ore, iron ore australia, iron ore price, commodity price,
Resources Shares

Rio Tinto milestone sends shares in resources tech stock higher

This company has passed a key due diligence milestone triggering a payment from global miner Rio Tinto.

Read more »