Buy this beaten down and 'underappreciated' ASX gold stock while it's cheap

Goldman Sachs thinks a selloff has created a buying opportunity for investors.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Bellevue Gold Ltd (ASX: BGL) share price had a tough finish to the week.

The ASX gold stock was down as much as 27% before closing the day almost 22% at $1.44.

Investors were selling the gold miner's shares after it raised funds through an institutional placement.

Bellevue Gold revealed that it received firm commitments for a $150 million fully underwritten institutional placement at a 15.3% discount of $1.55 per new share.

Proceeds will be used to repay debt, unlocking project free cash flow to allow the ASX gold stock to self-fund its expansion in line with its updated five-year growth plan, and to support accelerated exploration and growth.

It is also worth noting that its new growth plan unveiled higher than expected costs in FY 2025. Something which didn't go down well with the market.

Two smiling work colleagues discuss an investment at their office.

Image source: Getty Images

Buy this ASX gold stock

Goldman Sachs believes that this weakness has created a buying opportunity for investors.

Its analysts have responded to the above by reiterating their buy rating with a trimmed price target of $1.85 (from $2.15). This implies potential upside of over 28% for investors from current levels.

According to the note, the broker believes that the market underappreciates this ASX gold stock. It said:

Relative to peers, BGL remains relatively underappreciated in our view, where as a scenario, the raise price implies a P/NAV of ~1x and ~US$1,780/oz LT gold (peer average ~1.1x NAV and ~US$1,910/oz). While near-term FCF yields are impacted by the accelerated development spend, we see these returning to double digit by FY27E, and remaining attractive vs. peers, supporting upside to the outlook for possible future capital returns once the expansion ramps up (despite ~25% of medium-term gold sales being hedged at ~A$2,700-2,900/oz). We note a 5-year resource extension adds ~30% to our valuation under a 1.6Mtpa processing scenario respectively, for which we capture some upside in our nominal value.

Goldman also highlights that there are significant expansion opportunities underground for the company. It adds:

We expect significant underground mine investment to-date de-risks ore access and opens up new areas for expansion/further exploration, with several faces now open (rather than drilling from the surface). BGL's most recent drilling highlighted assays with significantly higher grades than current resources (from already above peer gold grades), and potential for additional high-grade shoots, likely supporting future resource updates. On our estimates, a prolonged mine life from resource extension could add ~30% to our NAV from a 5-year mine extension on the 1.6Mtpa mill expansion at our ~US$1,800/oz LT gold price from CY28 (real $ 2024), with further upside if LT prices are closer to spot.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Gold

Miner with thumbs up at a mine.
Gold

How this $1.5 billion ASX 200 gold stock is on track to ramp up FY 2027 production

The ASX 200 gold stock is expanding its footprint in Western Australia.

Read more »

A woman stands in a field and raises her arms to welcome a golden sunset.
Resources Shares

Northern Star Resources March quarter 2026: higher-margin gold sales and solid cash flow

Northern Star Resources reported higher-margin gold sales, strong cash flow, and confirmed its growth and investment plans for FY26.

Read more »

Gold bars on top of gold coins.
Gold

2 ASX gold shares backed by experts for growth

ASX gold shares are barely in the green for 2026 but experts say there are good buys in the market.

Read more »

Two miners examine things they have taken out the ground.
Gold

ASX All Ords gold stock jumping today on 22% contained gold increase

The ASX gold stock is expanding its footprint in Western Australia.

Read more »

Miner holding cash which represents dividends.
Gold

Why are West African Resources shareholders celebrating today?

Shareholders have reason to smile today.

Read more »

Teen standing in a city street smiling and throwing sparkling gold glitter into the air.
Gold

Guess which ASX 200 gold stock is lifting off today on 'exceptional high-grade' results

Investors are piling into the ASX 200 gold miner on Tuesday. But why?

Read more »

A man leaps from a stack of gold coins to the next, each one higher than the last.
Broker Notes

Why this surging ASX All Ords stock is forecast to rocket another 142%

A leading broker expects this ASX gold stock could more than double investors’ money in the year ahead.

Read more »

Young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad, and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Gold

This ASX gold company has revealed a major boost to production over the next 4 years

A multi-mine strategy will underpin strong growth.

Read more »