Buy this beaten down and 'underappreciated' ASX gold stock while it's cheap

Goldman Sachs thinks a selloff has created a buying opportunity for investors.

| More on:
Two smiling work colleagues discuss an investment at their office.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Bellevue Gold Ltd (ASX: BGL) share price had a tough finish to the week.

The ASX gold stock was down as much as 27% before closing the day almost 22% at $1.44.

Investors were selling the gold miner's shares after it raised funds through an institutional placement.

Bellevue Gold revealed that it received firm commitments for a $150 million fully underwritten institutional placement at a 15.3% discount of $1.55 per new share.

Proceeds will be used to repay debt, unlocking project free cash flow to allow the ASX gold stock to self-fund its expansion in line with its updated five-year growth plan, and to support accelerated exploration and growth.

It is also worth noting that its new growth plan unveiled higher than expected costs in FY 2025. Something which didn't go down well with the market.

Buy this ASX gold stock

Goldman Sachs believes that this weakness has created a buying opportunity for investors.

Its analysts have responded to the above by reiterating their buy rating with a trimmed price target of $1.85 (from $2.15). This implies potential upside of over 28% for investors from current levels.

According to the note, the broker believes that the market underappreciates this ASX gold stock. It said:

Relative to peers, BGL remains relatively underappreciated in our view, where as a scenario, the raise price implies a P/NAV of ~1x and ~US$1,780/oz LT gold (peer average ~1.1x NAV and ~US$1,910/oz). While near-term FCF yields are impacted by the accelerated development spend, we see these returning to double digit by FY27E, and remaining attractive vs. peers, supporting upside to the outlook for possible future capital returns once the expansion ramps up (despite ~25% of medium-term gold sales being hedged at ~A$2,700-2,900/oz). We note a 5-year resource extension adds ~30% to our valuation under a 1.6Mtpa processing scenario respectively, for which we capture some upside in our nominal value.

Goldman also highlights that there are significant expansion opportunities underground for the company. It adds:

We expect significant underground mine investment to-date de-risks ore access and opens up new areas for expansion/further exploration, with several faces now open (rather than drilling from the surface). BGL's most recent drilling highlighted assays with significantly higher grades than current resources (from already above peer gold grades), and potential for additional high-grade shoots, likely supporting future resource updates. On our estimates, a prolonged mine life from resource extension could add ~30% to our NAV from a 5-year mine extension on the 1.6Mtpa mill expansion at our ~US$1,800/oz LT gold price from CY28 (real $ 2024), with further upside if LT prices are closer to spot.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Gold

gold share price represented by speeding golden bullet
Broker Notes

Why this surging ASX All Ords gold stock is tipped to rocket another 233%

A leading broker expects outsized gains from this ASX All Ords gold stock. But not without risk.

Read more »

Person holding out eight gold medals.
Gold

After smashing 50 record highs in 2025, what's ahead for the gold price and ASX gold shares like Northern Star in 2026?

The World Gold Council outlines its outlook for the record-setting gold price in 2026.

Read more »

A man leaps from a stack of gold coins to the next, each one higher than the last.
Broker Notes

Up 300% this year, 3 reasons to buy this ASX All Ords gold stock today

A leading broker sees further ‘clear upside’ potential for this rocketing ASX gold stock.

Read more »

Two miners examine things they have taken out the ground.
Gold

Regis Resources shares are up 175% in 2025. Here are the latest 'very encouraging' gold exploration results

Regis Resources is evaluating 100 gold exploration prospects and projects in Western Australia.

Read more »

A woman in a business suit sits at her desk with gold bars in each hand while she kisses one bar with her eyes closed. Her desk has another three gold bars stacked in front of her. symbolising the rising Northern Star share price
Gold

Why this emerging ASX 200 gold stock could rise 40%+

Bell Potter is recommending this gold miner to investors.

Read more »

A mining executive from Red Dirt Metals chats on her mobile phone looking pleased with a mining site and mining truck in the background
Gold

Up 53% since August, guess which ASX 200 gold stock is lifting today on 'key milestone'

The ASX 200 gold miner announced a ‘key milestone’ for its new WA gold mine.

Read more »

A miner holds up a mineral find as other workers look on,
Gold

Northern Star shares shining bright on $225 million gold exploration news

Northern Star is spending big to unearth more gold. Here’s what’s happening.

Read more »

A few gold nullets sit on an old-fashioned gold scale, representing ASX gold shares.
Gold

Up 75% this year, are Northern Star shares still a buy today?

A leading expert provides his outlook for Northern Star shares.

Read more »