Can CSL shares deliver market-beating returns for investors?

Is this a good place to invest your hard-earned money? Let's find out.

CSL Ltd (ASX: CSL) shares have a long history of delivering market-beating returns for investors.

For example, over the last 15 years, the biotechnology giant's shares have generated an average total return of 16.55% per annum.

To put that into context, a $10,000 investment back in 2009 would have grown to be worth approximately $99,500 today.

And while the market has historically delivered a very solid 10% per annum return, CSL's outperformance has led to significantly greater wealth creation than if you had just invested the same $10,000 into an index fund.

For instance, $10,000 compounding at 10% per annum would grow to become approximately $42,000 in 15 years.

That's less than half the return of CSL shares during the same period. Clearly it has been a great stock to hold in your portfolio.

But does this remain the case today? Let's see if CSL can be a market-beater again in the future.

Shot of a young scientist using a digital tablet while working in a lab.

Image source: Getty Images

Can CSL shares beat the market?

Analysts at Morgans are feeling very positive about the company's outlook. So much so, CSL has been named on the broker's best ideas list again this month. Morgans said:

While shares have struggled of late, we continue to view CSL as a key portfolio holding and sector pick, offering double-digit recovery in earnings growth as plasma collections increase, new products get approved and influenza vaccine uptake increases around ongoing concerns about respiratory viruses, with shares trading at 25x, a substantial discount (20%) to its long-term average.

The broker has an add rating and $315.40 price target on its shares. This implies potential upside of 12% for investors from current levels.

Bigger returns to come

Over at Macquarie, its analysts are even more bullish on CSL shares. Macquarie currently has an outperform rating and $330.00 price targets on them. This suggests that potential upside of almost 17% is possible over the next 12 months.

But the returns won't stop there according to the broker. Macquarie is so positive on the medium term outlook for the key CSL Behring business that it sees scope for the CSL share price to climb beyond $500 within three years. If this proves accurate, it would mean a return of 77% from current levels.

While nothing is guaranteed in the investment world, it is fair to say that analysts are quite confident that CSL can continue its market-beating ways long into the future. Time will tell if that is the case.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in CSL. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended CSL and Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended CSL. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Healthcare Shares

Group of doctors celebrate by pumping fists in the air.
Healthcare Shares

Telix Pharmaceuticals vs Ramsay Healthcare: Which ASX healthcare stock made investors richer in 2026?

And find out which has the strongest upside ahead.

Read more »

Buy and sell written on red dice on top of stock market charts.
Broker Notes

Up 98%: Are CSL shares now a buy, hold or sell?

A leading expert provides his forecast for CSL’s rocketing shares.

Read more »

Doctor with stethoscope using a tablet in a hospital.
Broker Notes

What is this broker's view on Telix shares after yesterday's crash?

Here is the latest outlook from Bell Potter.

Read more »

Doctor with stethoscope holding a tablet and smiling.
Healthcare Shares

How much could the CSL share price rise in the next year?

Can CSL continue delivering very healthy returns?

Read more »

Male and female scientists analysing data on a computer.
Healthcare Shares

Telix shares just crashed 12% on merger news. Time to buy the dip?

Integration, regulatory milestones and dilution are the real tests now.

Read more »

A female scientist in a laboratory setting using a tablet to review data, with a male scientist working in the background.
Healthcare Shares

Sigma Healthcare vs Sonic Healthcare: Which ASX healthcare share wins?

I compare Sigma Healthcare and Sonic Healthcare to reveal which ASX healthcare share I think is the better buy right…

Read more »

A man surrounded by huge piles of paper looks through a magnifying glass at his computer screen.
Opinions

CSL shares are back near $180. Here's the level I'm watching

CSL shares are nearing a key technical level after a strong rebound.

Read more »

a biomedical researcher sits at his desk with his hand on his chin, thinking and giving a small smile with a microscope next to him and an array of test tubes and beackers behind him on shelves in a well-lit bright office.
Healthcare Shares

Neuren Pharmaceuticals vs Telix Pharmaceuticals: Which healthcare stock is best?

How do Neuren Pharmaceuticals and Telix Pharmaceuticals stack up? Here’s my verdict on which ASX healthcare stock looks more compelling…

Read more »