Lynas shares can rise 35% in 12 months: Bell Potter

This rare earths share is close to a 52-week low. Here's why it could be a buy.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Lynas Rare Earths Ltd (ASX: LYC) share price was out of form on Monday.

The rare earths producer's shares dropped 3.5% to $6.07.

This leaves Lynas' shares trading within touching distance of a 52-week low.

Man sits smiling at a computer showing graphs.

Image source: Getty Images

Should you buy Lynas shares?

According to a note out of Bell Potter, its analysts believe that recent weakness has created a buying opportunity for investors.

In response to the company's first-quarter update, the broker has retained its buy rating with a slightly trimmed $8.20 price target.

This price target implies a potential upside of 35% for investors over the next 12 months.

What did the broker say?

Bell Potter acknowledges that Lynas has had a "wobbly start" to FY 2024. It said:

LYC 1QFY24 production was 1,526t (NdPr), 18% lower QoQ and 7% below our estimates as maintenance works were carried out at Lynas Malaysia (LAMP) over the quarter. Sales of 2,825t REO were 30% lower than 4QFY23 with LYC stockpiling ~22% of production over the quarter, which was beyond our assumption of 15%.

Nevertheless, even after factoring this into its valuation, the broker sees plenty of value in Lynas shares at current levels. Particularly given its long-term growth opportunities. It adds:

We have incorporated the 1QFY24 results and updated guidance which resulted in a 3.5% decrease in our target price to $8.20/sh (previously $8.50/sh) and we maintain our Buy recommendation in accordance with our ratings structure.

LYC is a high-quality business, and a key supplier of separated rare earths to Western economies. We do see risks of further earnings revisions over the next 12 months, however, note that this is a transition period, and the growth options over the long-term outweigh the near term risks.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

A group of hands up in the air as if signifying a hearty vote in favour of a motion.
Materials Shares

This ASX 300 stock just jumped 13%. Here's what's behind the move

IperionX shares jump 13% as insider buying grabs attention.

Read more »

A construction worker sits pensively at his desk with his arm propping up his chin as he looks at his laptop computer.
Materials Shares

Another broker just recommended this ASX materials stock

More brokers are jumping on board this struggling materials stock.

Read more »

Businessman looks with one eye through magnifying glass.
Materials Shares

Forget Rio Tinto shares and buy this ASX copper miner

Bell Potter is predicting big returns from this copper stock.

Read more »

A wide-smiling businessman in suit and tie rips open his shirt to reveal a green t-shirt underneath.
Materials Shares

This $1 billion ASX lithium stock is in the spotlight today. Here's why

Core Lithium shares are on the move after striking another deal to sell lithium stockpiles.

Read more »

Man ecstatic after reading good news.
Materials Shares

This ASX 200 copper stock is pushing higher on record profits

It was a solid quarter for this miner. Here's what it reported.

Read more »

A shocked man holding some documents in the living room.
Materials Shares

Broker tips this ASX materials stock to rise 139% after yesterday's crash

This miner could be set to rocket.

Read more »

Meeting taking place amongst members of a board.
Materials Shares

CFO quits within weeks as this ASX 200 stock keeps sliding. What on earth is going on?

IGO shares fall again as the new CFO exits within weeks.

Read more »

Two mining workers on a laptop at a mine site.
Materials Shares

Guess which ASX stock just came out of a trading halt and jumped 8% today

Tivan shares jump 8% after the release of the scoping study for Molyhil.

Read more »