Should you buy BHP shares following its Q1 update?

What are analysts saying about this mining giant's shares?

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BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) shares are falling with the market on Thursday.

In afternoon trade, the mining giant's shares are down 1.5% to $45.18.

Should you buy the dip?

One leading broker that is likely to see today's pullback as a buying opportunity is Goldman Sachs.

This morning, in response to the miner's first-quarter update, the broker has reiterated its bullish view on BHP's shares.

According to the note, its analysts have retained their buy rating and $46.50 price target.

While this only implies a modest potential upside of 3%, the broker expects a 4.2% dividend yield in FY 2024 to sweeten the deal further. It commented:

BHP is currently trading at ~6.0x NTM EBITDA, (25-yr average EV/EBITDA of ~6-7x) vs. RIO on ~5.0x. BHP is trading at 1.0x NAV (A$45.4/sh), vs. RIO at ~0.9x NAV. That said, we believe this premium vs. peers can be partly maintained due to ongoing superior margins and operating performance (particularly in Pilbara iron ore where BHP maintains superior FCF/t), high returning copper growth, and lower iron ore replacement & decarbonisation capex.

Who else is bullish on BHP shares?

Goldman isn't the only broker with the equivalent of a buy rating on the Big Australian's shares.

In response to the update, Macquarie has retained its outperform rating and $47.00 price target, which suggests an upside of 4%. It continues to forecast a fully franked ~4.5% dividend yield over the next 12 months.

Over at Morgans, its analysts are a touch more bullish and have an add rating and $50.00 price target on the miner's shares.

Combined with its expectation for a ~6% dividend yield in FY 2024, this implies a total 12-month return of almost 17%.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group and Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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