Why are US shares doing so much better than ASX 200 shares in 2023?

The S&P 500 has risen 11.75% while ASX 200 shares have risen 1.32%.

| More on:
An older woman with grey hair and wearing glasses looks at her laptop screen with her hand outstretched to demonstrate that she doesn't understand what she is reading

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

There's an old adage in shares trading that says when the US market sneezes, the ASX catches a cold.

It basically means if Wall Street has a bad night, ASX 200 shares will have a bad next day.

And it's pretty reliable.

So, seeing the current divergence in the performance of US shares vs. ASX 200 shares is quite interesting.

Let's take a look.

US stocks vs. Australian shares in 2023

The following chart documents the year-to-date performance of the S&P 500 Index (SP: .INX) and S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) shares.

As you can see, a divergence began in May and has kept on going.

Over the course of 2023, the S&P 500 has risen 11.75% while ASX 200 shares have risen just 1.32%.

US stocks officially entered a new bull market back in June. At that point, the S&P 500 had ascended by more than 20% from its low point in October 2022, which is the definition of a bull run.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJX: .DJI) commenced a new bull run in November 2022 and the Nasdaq Composite Index (NASDAQ: .IXIC) followed in May this year.

Commentators say US stocks are showing resilience in the face of higher inflation and interest rates.

So, why isn't the ASX 200 as resilient?

What's driving this differing performance?

Fool analyst Chris Copley offers his insights on why US stocks are doing better than ASX 200 shares in 2023.

Copley explains:

So far in 2023, it seems the S&P 500 has seen returns driven largely by just a handful of companies.

In particular, large cap technology businesses. So the likes of Apple, NVIDIA, Microsoft, Alphabet, and Tesla. Each of these businesses have significant exposure to the rising AI trend and have been buoyed by improving sentiment throughout the year.

As examples, Nvidia shares are up 193% in the year to date and Tesla stocks are up 126%.

Copley adds:

In contrast, the ASX 200 Index showed greater resilience particularly in early 2022 as commodity prices surged. The iron ore price, even after a resurgence in recent months remain materially below the peak seen early the prior year.

Whilst over time ASX and US shares tend to move in a similar direction, due to our markets' vastly different industry exposures, we can often see a divergence in returns — particularly over shorter periods of time.

Copley points out that ASX 200 shares fell by about 7% in 2022 while the S&P 500 fell by about 20%.

Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Alphabet, Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Alphabet, Apple, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

Red buy button on an apple keyboard with a finger on it representing asx tech shares to buy today
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

A miner stands in front oh an excavator at a mine site

3 reasons ASX uranium stocks can keep charging higher into 2025

I think the recent sell-down in ASX uranium stocks has been overdone. Here’s why.

Read more »

A businessman sits on a chair looking at a pile of chairs stacked up to the ceiling of a white empty room.
Share Market News

Here's how the ASX 200 market sectors stacked up last week

Consumer discretionary shares led the ASX 200 market sectors last week with a 0.36% gain.

Read more »

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles while at laptop.

3 reasons to be positive on ASX 200 shares in FY25 (and 3 to be wary)

Vinay Ranjan from Airlie Funds Management says we should ignore market noise and buy quality stocks.

Read more »

A woman uses her phone to pay at the counter, with a queue of more customers behind.
Share Market News

Where Aussies are spending their money, and the ASX shares that could benefit

Households are still opening their wallets on certain categories.

Read more »

A young well-dressed couple at a luxury resort celebrate successful life choices.
Share Market News

With nothing in my savings account, I'd use Warren Buffett's golden rule to build wealth

Here's how you could grow your wealth by following the Oracle of Omaha's golden rule.

Read more »

A man clenches his fists in excitement as gold coins fall from the sky.
Broker Notes

These ASX shares could rise 25% to ~50%

Big returns could await buyers of these shares according to analysts.

Read more »

A businessman hugs his computer and smiles.

2 outstanding ASX 200 shares to buy and hold for a decade

I think these ASX 200 shares will continue to reward investors for years to come.

Read more »