Why did the Fortescue share price significantly underperform the ASX 200 in May?

The iron ore miner's shares fell into a hole last month.

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a female miner looks straight ahead at the camera wearing a hard hat, protective goggles and a high visibility vest standing in from of a mine site and looking seriously with direct eye contact.

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Key points

  • The Fortescue share price dropped by 8% in May
  • The ASX 200 dropped by 3%
  • The heavy decline of the ASX iron ore share may have been largely due to the falling iron ore price

The Fortescue Metals Group Ltd (ASX: FMG) share price suffered over the last month. It dropped more than 8% in May 2023, compared to a 3% drop in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO). A 5% underperformance in just one month is considerable, as we can see on the chart below.

The ASX mining share saw some volatility as investors took in the latest iron ore price movements.

May was quite an eventful month with investors worried about the US debt ceiling and another interest rate rise by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).

Let's have a look at what might have impacted the Fortescue share price last month.

Iron ore price weakness

The iron ore price started the month at US$105 per tonne but it dropped over the month to around US$100 per tonne.  

As an ASX iron ore share, the company's monthly profitability is highly linked to changes in the commodity price.

Mining costs don't typically change much month to month, so any extra revenue largely turns into net profit after tax (NPAT). But, the opposite is true when the iron ore price falls – it largely wipes off net profit. That's why changes in the iron ore price can have such a large impact on the Fortescue share price, in either direction.

If the company isn't going to generate as much profit, then it can't pay as large dividends. This is also a drag on shareholder returns.

Anything else in May?

The ASX mining share announced last month it was redeeming US$750 million of outstanding unsecured notes which were due in May 2024. Fortescue said it was redeeming them by utilising cash on hand "further strengthening Fortescue's capital structure." It won't need to pay the interest on the notes after the notes have been redeemed.

Fortescue also gave a couple of presentations. Although it wasn't deemed market sensitive, the company pointed out that five Fortescue Future Industries (FFI) green energy projects are being targeted for a final investment decision this calendar year. Those projects are located in Australia, Brazil, Kenya, the US, and Norway.

Foolish takeaway

The company's June performance could also be influenced by the iron ore price. Certainly, the Chinese economy isn't firing on all cylinders yet, so further weakness — or a recovery — for the Asian economy could be key for which way the Fortescue share price goes in the short term.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has positions in Fortescue Metals Group. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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