Worried about a recession? Here's why these investors are backing Warren Buffett

Warren Buffett, CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, has amassed a fortune in excess of US$100 billion through his surprisingly straight forward investing acumen.

| More on:
Legendary share market investing expert, and owner of Berkshire Hathaway, Warren Buffett.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Consensus is building that the US economy will slip into a recession within the next year
  • The majority of surveyed investors believe Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway will continue to outperform in recessionary times
  • Survey respondents highly favoured defensive stocks over growth and tech stocks as far as shares to buy right now

Warren Buffett.

Do I have your attention yet?

Warren Buffett – CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, aka the Oracle of Omaha – has amassed a fortune in excess of US$100 billion through his investing acumen.

One of the reasons that investors' ears perk up at the mention of his name is that his investing strategies are surprisingly straightforward. With time and patience, anyone can follow in the Oracle's path.

As a value investor, he likes to buy into quality companies he understands at a fair price. And ones with strong barriers to entry, or 'moats', to ward off any would-be competitors.

He's also well-known for his long-term investing strategies, looking to own companies for decades rather than a year or two. "Our favourite holding period is forever," he once noted.

And, together with his right-hand man and Berkshire Hathaway vice-chair Charlie Munger, Warren Buffett's investing strategies have proven highly profitable for investors.

According to Bloomberg, Berkshire's shares have delivered 9.5% compounded annual returns from 2000 through to the first quarter of 2023. That compares to a 6.5% return from the S&P 500 Index (SP: .INX).

Which brings us to the looming recession in the United States.

Investors fretting about a recession turn to Warren Buffett

Consensus is building that the US economy could slide into a recession within the next 12 months. Should the world's top economy shrink, the financial headwinds will be felt across the globe. Including here in Australia.

With recession fears building, investors are increasingly eyeing defensive stocks.

And with Warren Buffett's lengthy track record of successful value investing, the majority believe Berkshire Hathaway will continue to outperform the S&P 500 over the next five years.

The latest Bloomberg Markets Live Pulse survey asked investors "How will Berkshire's returns compare to the S&P 500 over the next five years?"

53% of professional and 54% of retail investors expect Berkshire will indeed beat the market over five years. Only 13% of professional and 8% of retail investors thought Berkshire will underperform US markets.

That's in line with what the survey respondents view as the best style of stocks to buy right now.

45% said now is the time to buy defensive stocks, with 20% favouring growth stocks and 17% tipping tech stocks.

Warren Buffett is well known for investing in more defensive stocks and for generally avoiding the tech sector.

Respondents were most united on the question of what will be his biggest legacy.

Their response?

"Buying stocks for less than what they are worth."

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Berkshire Hathaway. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Berkshire Hathaway. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on How to invest

A group of young people lined up on a wall are happy looking at their laptops and devices as they invest in the latest trendy stock.
How to invest

How to build your first ASX share portfolio step by step

Starting your journey in the share market? Here is an easy way to do it.

Read more »

Legendary share market investing expert, and owner of Berkshire Hathaway, Warren Buffett.
How to invest

No savings at 50? Here's how I'd use Warren Buffett's playbook to build wealth and retire comfortably

Following in Warren Buffett's footsteps could help you retire wealthy.

Read more »

Man looking amazed holding $50 Australian notes, representing ASX dividends.
How to invest

How much passive income could I make from ASX shares with $10,000?

Wanting to turn your hard-earned money into passive income? Here's how you could do it.

Read more »

A broker caluculates a hold rating for an asx share price
How to invest

How I'd go about finding undervalued ASX shares to buy and hold forever in 2026

This strategy could help you beat the market over the long term.

Read more »

Man holding Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
How to invest

Where to invest $10,000 in ASX 200 shares this month

Analysts think these shares are buys right now. Here's what they are recommending.

Read more »

Happy young couple saving money in piggy bank.
How to invest

DIY investors: How to build a stable income portfolio starting with $50,000

This is how I would build an income portfolio in 2026 for the long term.

Read more »

A young couple hug each other and smile at the camera, standing in front of their brand new luxury car.
How to invest

How much wealth could I build by investing $500 a month into ASX shares?

Building wealth isn’t about starting big. It’s about showing up consistently and letting time do the work.

Read more »

young people celebrating at a gold party
How to invest

How to become rich with ASX shares over the next 10 years

Here's how you could build wealth with ASX shares.

Read more »