Can Westpac shares really deliver 15% upside AND a 6% dividend yield?

This could be the bank share to buy for big returns according to Goldman Sachs.

Key points
  • Westpac shares could have double-digit upside according to Goldman Sachs
  • The broker also expects a generous dividend yield from its shares
  • Goldman has Westpac on its coveted conviction list

If you're looking for exposure to the banking sector, then Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) shares could be worth considering.

That's the view of analysts at Goldman Sachs, which believe the banking giant's shares could provide investors with strong gains and big dividends.

Young investor sits at desk looking happy after discovering Westpac's dividend reinvestment plan

Image source: Getty Images

What's on offer with Westpac shares?

According to a note released this morning, the broker believes that Westpac shares are trading at a level that makes them very cheap.

In fact, its analysts estimate that "the stock is trading at a 24% 12-month forward PER discount to peers (historically a 3% discount)."

As a result, it sees scope for a significant re-rating from current levels and has retained its conviction buy rating on its shares with a slightly trimmed price target of $25.86.

Based on the current Westpac share price of $22.57, this implies potential upside of 15% for investors over the next 12 months.

But wait, there's more!

Don't forget the dividends

Goldman is also expecting the bank's full-year dividends to increase from $1.25 per share in FY 2022 to $1.44 per share in FY 2023 (and then to $1.50 per share in FY 2024).

This equates to a fully franked 6.4% dividend yield this year based on where Westpac shares are currently trading.

Goldman commented:

We reiterate our Buy recommendation (on CL) on WBC given: i) while NIM pressures are accelerating across the sector, WBC's shorter-duration replicating portfolio, and current balance sheet performance, should see its NIM outperform peers; ii) despite WBC recently revising its FY24E cost target to A$8.6 bn (from A$8.0 bn), the bank's performance on cost management remains strong in this inflationary environment, and we forecast a 9% step down in underlying costs over the next two years; iii) on our estimates, the stock is trading at a 24% 12-month forward PER discount to peers (historically a 3% discount), and iv) our TP of A$25.86 offers 23% TSR.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Westpac Banking. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Westpac Banking. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

Australian dollar notes in businessman pocket suit, symbolising ex dividend day.
Bank Shares

If I invest $8,000 in CBA shares, what passive income could I earn in FY27 and FY28?

Brokers aren't too bullish about the outlook for the bank shares over the next 12 months, but its passive income…

Read more »

Couple using their digital tablet together.
Bank Shares

Are CBA shares still worth buying near $150?

I look at whether the recent pullback has made this major bank more attractive today.

Read more »

Bank written on a brown building.
Bank Shares

Westpac vs NAB shares: Which big bank is the better buy?

I compare Westpac and NAB shares for value, yield and momentum – here’s which bank I’d buy now.

Read more »

A man in a suit smiles at the yellow piggy bank he holds in his hand.
Bank Shares

If I invest $10,000 in CBA shares today, what could they be worth in October 2027?

Find out what brokers expect next out of CBA shares.

Read more »

Piles of increasing coins on Australian $100 notes.
Bank Shares

By October 2027, $5,000 invested in this ASX bank stock could turn into…

Guess how much upside is expected out of this ASX stock!

Read more »

Happy young woman saving money in a piggy bank.
Bank Shares

If I invest $10,000 in ANZ shares, what passive income could I receive in FY27?

Are you invested into ANZ shares? Here's what you could earn.

Read more »

Four business people wearing formal business suits and ties walk abreast on a wide paved surface with their long shadows falling on the ground ahead of them.
Bank Shares

Are ASX 200 bank stocks a buy in October?

Find out what analysts are forecasting for bank shares over the next 12 months.

Read more »

A woman wearing a yellow shirt smiles as she checks her phone.
Bank Shares

Commonwealth Bank vs ANZ: Which is better for passive income?

Which ASX banking giant delivers better passive income: Commonwealth Bank or ANZ? Let’s stack up their dividends, franking and recent…

Read more »