'Significant earnings growth': Bell Potter says Mineral Resources share price can rocket 30%

Make way, make way! The Mineral Resources juggernaut is coming through.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Mineral Resources Ltd (ASX: MIN) share price has been a very strong performer over the last 12 months.

Since this time in 2022, the mining and mining services company's shares have risen a sizeable 28%.

A man has a surprised and relieved expression on his face.

Image source: Getty Images

Why has the Mineral Resources share price smashed the market?

A key driver of its strong gains has been the company's performance in FY 2023.

Thanks largely to its lithium operations, Mineral Resources reported a huge jump in its profits during the first half.

For the six months ended 31 December, the company's underlying earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) was up 503% to $939 million and its net profit after tax jumped 1,890% to $390 million.

This allowed the company to bring back its interim payout, with the Mineral Resources board declaring a fully franked $1.20 per share dividend.

Can its shares keep rising?

The good news is that there could be plenty more left in the tank according to analysts at Bell Potter.

This week, the broker reiterated its buy rating with a trimmed price target of $100.00. Based on the latest Mineral Resources share price of $78.02, this implies potential upside of almost 30% for investors over the next 12 months.

In addition, the broker is forecasting fully franked dividend yields of 2.4% in FY 2023, 5.1% in FY 2024, and then 10.1% in FY 2025.

Why is it bullish?

Bell Potter is expecting big things from the company's business transformation and is forecasting significant earnings growth.

So much so, it estimates that the Mineral Resources share price trades on a EV/EBITDA ratio of just 3.1x FY 2025 earnings.

It commented:

Over the next two years we forecast that as MIN's business transformation is completed, growing production volumes, and improving margins, will result in significant earnings growth. Notwithstanding our adoption of more conservative lithium price forecasts, we retain the view that the longterm lithium demand outlook remains strong, and producers stand to benefit from further price volatility.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A smiling woman holds a Facebook like sign above her head.
Broker Notes

5 ASX shares scoring upgraded ratings this week

Experts have raised their ratings on JB Hi-Fi, Beach Energy, Amcor, and others this week.

Read more »

A man sitting at his dining table looks at his laptop and ponders the share price.
Broker Notes

Down 65%: Is this ASX 300 stock a cheap buy?

This stock has been sold off. Has this created a buying opportunity? Let's see what Bell Potter is saying.

Read more »

Three guys in shirts and ties give the thumbs down.
Broker Notes

5 ASX All Ords shares downgraded by brokers this week

Brokers have reduced their ratings on PLS Group, Fortescue, Webjet, and others this week.

Read more »

A man sits in contemplation on his sofa looking at his phone as though he has just heard some serious or interesting news.
Broker Notes

Does Ord Minnett rate Goodman shares as a buy, hold, or sell?

The broker has been looking at a big agreement signed this month.

Read more »

Red sell button on an Apple keyboard.
Broker Notes

Sell alert! Why this expert is calling time on Westpac shares

A leading analyst delivers his verdict on Westpac shares.

Read more »

A woman wearing a black and white striped t-shirt looks to the sky with her hand to her chin, contemplating buying ASX shares.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Minerals 260, 4DMedical, Karoon Energy shares

Two experts share their latest ratings and opinions on three ASX shares.

Read more »

Two mining workers in orange high vis vests walk and talk at a mining site.
Resources Shares

Morgans tips 1 ASX mining share to rip — and 1 to avoid — in 2026

Morgans has revised its ratings on an ASX 200 lithium share and an ASX 200 gold stock.

Read more »

Woman and man calculating a dividend yield.
Broker Notes

What is Morgans saying about Stanmore Resources and Suncorp shares after results?

Are these shares a buy, hold, or sell?

Read more »