Which ASX 200 big four bank share could be the safest to hold?

Are Australian big four bank shares as safe as houses?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • The global banking crisis has spooked investors
  • Let's take a look to see how safe Australian banks are
  • There are a few key metrics that will help show which ASX 200 bank share is the safest

It certainly has been a tough month for ASX 200 banks.

The drama involving Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse has shaken investor confidence and led to many investors selling their bank shares.

The good news is that every cloud has a silver lining, which on this occasion is the cheaper prices that investors can pick up bank stocks.

But given the uncertainty in the global banking sector, it's possible that some investors may be wanting to buy only the safest of banks.

So, which big four ASX 200 bank share is the safest at the moment?

man holding sign that says safety first

Image source: Getty Images

How safe are ASX 200 bank shares?

Firstly, it is worth noting that the Australian banking sector is among the most robust in the world. So, we're going to be looking at arguably the safest of the safe when doing this.

Moving on, to get an idea of which big four bank might be the safest, we can look at metrics that banks provide.

The first is the Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio, which is essentially a measure of spare cash. It compares the core equity capital of a bank to its risk-weighted assets.

APRA notes that having adequate capital is critical to protect financial institutions' depositors and policyholders. As such, regulators set requirements on minimum capital to ensure financial institutions can absorb unexpected losses in their business.

At present, the big four bank with the highest CET1 ratio is ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ), which last reported a ratio of 12.2%. However, it is currently in the process of acquiring the banking operations of Suncorp Group Ltd (ASX: SUN). When adjusting for that acquisition, its CET1 ratio drops to 11% on a pro forma basis.

So, Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) and its CET1 ratio of 11.4% may be the true winner here.

The good news is that the other big four ASX 200 bank shares are not far behind. National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) has a CET1 ratio of 11.3% and Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) has a CET1 ratio of 11.13%.

Importantly, all are comfortably ahead of APRA's requirements.

Anything else?

Another couple of metrics of note are the net stable funding ratio (NSFR) and the liquidity coverage ratio (LCR). The International Bank of Settlements defines these liquidity ratios as the following:

The LCR is designed to ensure that banks hold a sufficient reserve of high-quality liquid assets (HQLA) to allow them to survive a period of significant liquidity stress lasting 30 calendar days. The NSFR is defined as the amount of available stable funding relative to the amount of required stable funding. This ratio should be equal to at least 100% on an ongoing basis.

Leading the way with these liquidity metrics is Westpac. The combination of its ratios edges out Commonwealth Bank by one percentage point.

At the last count, Westpac had an LCR of 122% and an NSFR of 139%. Whereas Commonwealth Bank has ratios of 131% and 129%, respectively.

Next in line was NAB with an LCR of 134% and an NSFR of 118%. In last place, but well above required liquidity levels is ANZ with an LCR of 125.7% and an NSFR of 119.1%.

The winner

All in all, based on the above, it would be hard to argue against CBA being the safest ASX 200 bank share.

Though, with its shares trading at a significant premium to the rest of the big four, investors may get more bang for their buck with Westpac. As covered here, Goldman Sachs believes its shares are very cheap at current levels.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Westpac Banking. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Westpac Banking. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

Nervous customer in discussions at a bank.
Bank Shares

Down 17%: What should I do with my Westpac shares now?

Westpac shares hit an all-time high in early April.

Read more »

A group of five people dressed in black business suits scrabble in a flurry of banknotes that are whirling around them, some in the air, others on the ground as some of them bend to pick up the money.
Bank Shares

Here's the dividend forecast out to 2027 for NAB shares

How much dividend income can investors bank on in the next couple of years?

Read more »

A man with a wide, eager smile on his face holds up three fingers.
Bank Shares

3 big reasons to buy CBA shares

The banking backdrop is tougher, yet the strongest franchises can still have a role in a long-term portfolio.

Read more »

A man casually dressed looks to the side in a pensive, thoughtful manner with one hand under his chin, and holding a mobile phone in his other hand.
Bank Shares

Is the NAB share price good value after crashing 24%?

Let's see if now is a good time to buy this banking giant's shares.

Read more »

two young boys dressed in business suits and wearing spectacles look at each other in rapture with wide open mouths and holding large fans of banknotes with other banknotes, coins and a piggybank on the table in front of them and a bag of cash at the side.
Bank Shares

How many ANZ shares do I need to buy for $10,000 of passive income?

Can ANZ deliver investors significant dividend income?

Read more »

Man holding different Australian dollar notes.
Dividend Investing

Invested in ASX 200 bank shares for dividends? This fundie prefers other stocks

James Gerrish explains which ASX stocks look better than banks for passive dividend income.

Read more »

Man holding a calculator with Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Bank Shares

If I invest $8,000 in Westpac shares, how much passive income will I receive in 2027?

Is the banking giant a good option for income investors? Let's find out.

Read more »

A woman looks quizzical while looking at a dollar sign in the air.
Bank Shares

$10,000 invested in CBA shares 5 years ago is now really worth…

CBA shares have outpaced the ASX 200 and inflation over the past five years. But by how much?

Read more »