Arafura stock sell-off continues, broker tips 35% upside

Recent weakness could be a buying opportunity for investors according to one broker.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • The Arafura share price hit a 52-week high a few weeks ago
  • Since then, its shares have lost over 20% of their value
  • Bell Potter believes this is a buying opportunity for investors

The Arafura Rare Earths Ltd (ASX: ARU) share price is under pressure on Tuesday.

At the time of writing, the rare earths developer's shares are down 5% to 53.5 cents.

This means the Arafura share price has now dropped almost 24% since hitting a 52-week high less than a month ago.

This has been driven by concerns over comments out of electric vehicle giant Tesla, which revealed plans to phase out rare earths from future vehicles.

And while this decline is disappointing, it could prove to be a great buying opportunity for investors.

Two male ASX 200 analysts stand in an office looking at various computer screens showing share prices.

Image source: Getty Images

Broker tips major upside for Arafura share price

According to a recent note out of Bell Potter, its analysts have described the Tesla-induced selloff as "a knee jerk reaction."

As a result, it recently upgraded its shares to a speculative buy rating with a 72 cents price target. Based on the current Arafura share price, this implies potential upside of almost 35% over the next 12 months.

The broker commented:

The recent 16% sell-off in ARU in reaction to the Tesla Investor Day presentation was a knee jerk reaction and in our view, was overdone. We maintain our valuation for ARU of $0.72/share and return to a Speculative BUY recommendation.

Bell Potter continues to believe that demand for rare earths will grow materially and support strong prices even without Tesla in the equation. It explains:

The result reduced our NdPr demand estimates by 10ktpa, which would still require the addition of 4.3x of Nolans capacity over the next 7 years. Given the scale, grade and advanced nature of the Nolans project we would still view this as a difficult task to achieve thus concluding price support for NdPr should be maintained.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

Three people in a corporate office pour over a tablet, ready to invest.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy right now

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

Person with thumbs down and a red sad face poster covering their face.
Broker Notes

6 ASX 200 shares downgraded by the experts this week

Brokers have reduced their ratings on six ASX 200 shares, including PLS Group and Westpac this week.

Read more »

Sell buy and hold on a digital screen with a man pointing at the sell square.
Broker Notes

Should you buy Wesfarmers shares amid rising profits and revenues?

A leading analyst offers his outlook for Wesfarmers shares.

Read more »

A man sits in deep thought with a pen held to his lips as he ponders his computer screen with a laptop open next to him on his desk in a home office environment.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Evolution Mining, Netwealth, and Nufarm shares

What is Morgans saying about these popular shares? Let's dig deeper into things.

Read more »

Health professional looking at a laptop.
Broker Notes

Is the Telix share price heading to $19? This broker thinks it is

Bell Potter remains bullish on this name. Here's what it is saying.

Read more »

Happy man working on his laptop.
Broker Notes

Broker says this ASX 200 stock can deliver a 20% return

Bell Potter is bullish on this fintech stock. Let's see what is saying about this one.

Read more »

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles with a laptop open.
Broker Notes

ASX 200 shares with renewed buy ratings this week

Brokers have signalled ongoing confidence in Zip, ANZ, Coles, and several other ASX 200 shares.

Read more »

Comical investor reading documents and surrounded by calculators.
Broker Notes

4 ASX 200 shares newly upgraded this week

As the Iran war and fuel crisis continues, some ASX 200 shares have attracted upgrades from the experts.

Read more »