Experts betting against a bear market for ASX shares

Short-selling of an ASX shares ETF that benefits from bear market conditions has surged over the past three months.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • An increasing number of pro traders have been shorting the BetaShares Australian Equities Strong Bear Hedge Fund over the past three months 
  • The fund hit a new 52-week low on Friday  
  • The value of the fund goes up when the market is falling

Just under 7% of the capital in the BetaShares Australian Equities Strong Bear Hedge Fund (ASX: BBOZ) is currently being short-sold by the experts, according to the latest ASX shares short sale report.

This is a dramatic change compared to three months ago when 0.33% of the stock was being shorted.

The change in short positioning may indicate that some experts think the bear market is over — at least for now.

As we explain in our Education Centre, shorting is not available to most ASX retail investors. Thus, it largely reflects what the pro ASX shares traders think, and which stocks they reckon will fall in value.

That's how you make money from shorting. You bet the share price will fall and you profit if it does.

a father measures the height of a small girl standing against a wall in their home.

Image source: Getty Images

Why is this bear market ETF being shorted?

To understand why the experts are shorting this bear market ETF, we need to understand the product.

According to the BetaShares Australian Equities Strong Bear Hedge Fund fact sheet, this is an 'inverse ETF'. It invests in cash and cash equivalents and sells ASX SPI 200 futures contracts.

The ETF generates a "magnified positive return" when the S&P/ASX 200 Accumulation Index (ASX: XJOA) falls on any given day, and a magnified negative return when the index rises.

A 1% fall in ASX 200 shares generally delivers a 2% to 2.75% increase for the fund, and vice versa.

Over the past three months, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has risen by 10.5%. So, that explains why an increasing number of experts have been shorting this bear market ETF over the period.

The BetaShares Australian Equities Strong Bear Hedge Fund share price finished at $3.23 on Friday, down 0.62%. It also hit a new 52-week low of $3.20 in Friday's session.

Which other ASX shares are being shorted?

According to the ASX report, these are the top 5 most shorted ASX shares at the moment. Here we show the percentage of issued capital shorted this week:

  1. Global X Ultra Long NASDAQ 100 (ASX: LNAS) 10.9%
  2. Global X Ultra Short NASDAQ 100 (ASX: SNAS) 9.8%
  3. BetaShares Australian Equities Strong Bear Hedge Fund (ASX: BBOZ) 6.9%
  4. VanEck Small Companies Masters ETF (ASX: MVS) 5.2%
  5. Global X US Treasury Bond (Currency Hedged) ETF (ASX: USTB) 5.2%

Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on ASX Share Market News

Three rock climbers hang precariously off a steep cliff face, each connected to the other with the higher person holding on and the two below them connected by their arms and rope but not making contact with the cliff face.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a rather nasty Thursday session for investors.

Read more »

A financial expert or broker looks worried as he checks out a graph showing market volatility.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Whitehaven, Endeavour, Neuren Pharmaceuticals shares

As earnings season continues, brokers have updated their ratings and 12-month price targets.

Read more »

Disappointed man with his hand to his forehead, looking at a falling share price on his laptop.
ASX Share Market News

Why is the ASX 200 falling to a 4-day low today?

What’s behind the market’s latest pullback?

Read more »

Woman smiles at camera at she buys greens from the supermarket.
Broker Notes

Do leading brokers rate Woolworths shares as a buy following its results?

Two leading brokers have given their take on the supermarket giant.

Read more »

Upset business woman in hijab working inside office,.
Broker Notes

7 ASX 200 shares downgraded by brokers this week

Brokers reduced their ratings on PLS Group, Lovisa, and others as earnings season continued.

Read more »

A man in his 30s with a clipped beard sits at his laptop on a desk with one finger to the side of his face and his chin resting on his thumb as he looks concerned while staring at his computer screen.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Coles, Paladin Energy, and Woodside shares

Morgans has updated its view on these stocks.

Read more »

Two happy woman on a sofa.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Breville, Car Group, Temple & Webster shares

Experts share their views on three ASX stocks post-results as earnings season continues today.

Read more »

A young African mine worker is standing with a smile in front of a large haul dump truck wearing his personal protective wear.
Broker Notes

3 ASX mining shares Bell Potter rates a buy

These miners could be worth a look.

Read more »