Broker tips 17% total annual return from BHP shares

Will BHP shareholders be laughing all the way to the bank in 2023?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

If you're looking for exposure to the resources sector, then you may want to consider BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) shares.

That's the view of analysts at Morgans, which continue to rate the mining giant as one of the best options in the sector.

Man in orange hard hat cheers

Image source: Getty Images

What is Morgans saying about BHP shares?

According to a recent note, the broker has retained its add rating on the Big Australian's shares with a $47.00 price target.

Based on where BHP's shares are trading at present, this implies potential upside of almost 9% over the next 12 months for investors.

In addition, Morgans is expecting BHP to continue paying big dividends to investors. It is forecasting a fully franked $2.96 per share dividend from the miner in FY 2023. This equates to a generous 6.8% dividend yield, which stretches the total potential return to almost 17%.

Why is the broker positive?

Morgans likes BHP due to the company being a lower risk option in the sector. It also believes the company is well-placed to benefit from the global recovery from COVID-19 and highlights the resilience of its dividend profile.

Morgans commented:

We view BHP as relatively low risk given its superior diversification relative to its major global mining peers. The spread of BHP's operations also supplies some defence against direct COVID-19 impact on earnings contributors. While there are more leveraged plays sensitive to a global recovery scenario, we see BHP as holding an attractive combination of upside sensitivity, balance sheet strength and resilient dividend profile.

Our long-term preference for BHP over RIO continues to pay dividends (literally), with BHP asserting itself as the better miner and with the stronger growth profile.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

Australian dollar notes in the pocket of a man's jeans, symbolising dividends.
Opinions

Why buying ASX shares in March could supercharge your wealth

I think there are opportunities galore right now.

Read more »

A woman gives two fist pumps with a big smile as she learns of her windfall, sitting at her desk.
Share Market News

Why these Vanguard ETFs could be best buys in 2026

From global markets to emerging Asia, these Vanguard ETFs provide diversified exposure for investors in 2026.

Read more »

A little boy in flying goggles and wings rides high on his mum's back with blue skies above.
Opinions

Why I think now is a great time to buy Qantas shares for long-term passive income

Qantas shares are now trading on a fully franked dividend yield of 5.5%.

Read more »

Red line going down on an ASX market chart, symbolising a falling share price.
Opinions

Worried about an ASX share market correction? I'm following Warren Buffett's advice

The market is going through a volatility bump.

Read more »

Winning woman smiles and holds big cup while losing woman looks unhappy with small cup.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a rough end to a tough week.

Read more »

Graphic showing yellow arrow above vertical columns indicating a rising share price
Share Market News

$10,000 invested in this ASX ETF a month ago is now worth $14,500

Investors in this ASX ETF are sitting on very appealing short-term gains.

Read more »

Businessman looks with one eye through magnifying glass.
Share Market News

Pulse check: How are the top 10 ASX 200 shares performing amid a new war?

What's happening with CBA, BHP, Wesfarmers, Woodside, Telstra, and other large-cap shares?

Read more »

Happy man working on his laptop.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy right now

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »