Why Apple stock popped Wednesday

Bullish preorder data was offset by one analyst's tepid prognosis.

| More on:
apples in the air representing floating apple price

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

What happened

Shares of Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) climbed higher Wednesday, adding as much as 2.1%. As of the close, the stock was still up by 0.96%.

Strong presale data for the iPhone 14 no doubt boosted the stock, but not everyone is convinced. One Wall Street analyst is suggesting that the tech giant's iPhone revenue will actually be lower in fiscal 2023, curtailing the stock's gains.

So what

Apple investors have been flooded with reports of strong iPhone 14 presales, which have historically been a good indicator of continuing consumer demand for the device. Earlier this week, numerous analysts read the digital tea leaves and concluded that strong pre-order data suggests resilient demand for the iPhone, even in the face of macroeconomic headwinds.

Just yesterday, Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani was the latest to jump on the bandwagon, suggesting that longer lead times pointed to robust demand for the latest version of Apple's flagship device, according to The Fly. He was particularly bullish regarding strong user interest in the iPhone 14 Pro, Pro Max, and Plus, the higher-priced models.

But not everyone is convinced. Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi is generally more cautious about Apple's prospects. The analyst suggested iPhone revenue could fall between 3% and 4% next year, a far cry from analysts' consensus estimates, which are calling for an increase of 2%. Sacconaghi worries that after two years of strong sales, upgrade adoption will slow and the remaining buyers will opt for lower-priced devices. It's worth noting that the analyst has a market perform (hold) rating and a price target of $170, which still suggests gains of 11% for investors over the coming year.

Now what

It's important to remember that this is mostly just "fun with numbers." No one knows for sure how many iPhones Apple will sell in a given year or what the product mix will be.

That said, Apple reached an important new milestone in the second quarter, with the iPhone accounting for more than 50% of all smartphones used in the U.S., overtaking Alphabet's Android for the first time.

Given its increasing share, continuing strong demand, and dominance of the high-end smartphone market, Apple stock remains a buy.

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Danny Vena has positions in Alphabet (A shares) and Apple. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Alphabet (A shares), Alphabet (C shares), and Apple. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended the following options: long March 2023 $120 calls on Apple and short March 2023 $130 calls on Apple. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Alphabet (A shares), Alphabet (C shares), and Apple. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on International Stock News

Blue electric vehicle on a green rising arrow with a charger hanging out.
International Stock News

Why Tesla stock rocketed higher today

Musk has been making promises about its FSD software for years, but this weekend could finally be a watershed moment.

Read more »

A woman sits at her computer with her hand to her mouth and a contemplative smile on her face as she reads about the performance of Allkem shares on her computer
International Stock News

What exactly does Nvidia do?

You know the name, but do you know what the company actually does?

Read more »

Blue electric vehicle on a green rising arrow with a charger hanging out.
International Stock News

Tesla share price jumps 13% as Elon throws a Hail Mary

Profits almost halved and investors are scrambling to buy shares. Make it make sense.

Read more »

A young woman sits on her lounge looking pleasantly surprised at what she's seeing on her laptop screen as she reads about the South32 share price
International Stock News

2 US artificial intelligence (AI) stocks that could beat Nvidia in the coming decades

These two companies are on track to benefit from the adoption of AI in big industries.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
International Stock News

Is it too late to buy Nvidia stock?

Nvidia stock has soared over 220% in the last year, but now could still be as good a time as…

Read more »

A woman holds a soldering tool as she sits in front of a computer screen while working on the manufacturing of technology equipment in a laboratory environment.
International Stock News

Up nearly 80% this year, does Nvidia stock have room for more?

Nvidia's stock added a lot of its gains the day after Q4 earnings.

Read more »

Piggy bank on an electric charger.
International Stock News

If you'd invested $1,000 in Tesla stock 5 years ago, here's how much you'd have today

Tesla bears may not have noticed it, but Tesla profits are forecast to 3x over the next five years.

Read more »

Businessman using a digital tablet with a graphical chart, symbolising the stock market.
International Stock News

Bull vs. bear: Can the S&P 500 keep rising in 2024?

We review the bull and bear case for the S&P 500 this year.

Read more »