Lithium spin-off? UBS tips 10% upside for Mineral Resources share price

Why did UBS give Mineral Resources an improved price target?

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Key points

  • A UBS broker gave the company's shares a price target of $83 each
  • Other brokers have valued Mineral Resources as being worth $10 billion
  • Some of these valuations assume the spin-off of Mineral Resources' lithium operating segment goes ahead as speculated

A UBS broker has given the lithium business of Mineral Resources Limited (ASX: MIN) a huge upside of 86% if its demerger plans go ahead, as originally reported by the Australian Financial Review yesterday afternoon.

The broker assumed that the enterprise value of its lithium business trades six times its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA). Furthermore, a price target of $83 was provided along with a rating of buy.

Other trading desks have different takes on their valuations of the company, with some stating that its lithium operating segment is worth as much as the company itself. The Australian Financial Review reported that the business is likely trading at three times forward EBITDA.

Using comparables analysis of similar companies in its peer universe, AFR said it could potentially be rated as worth $10 billion.

Rumours have circulated about a potential spin-off of Mineral Resources. If that comes to fruition, Mineral Resources' lithium operating segment will be spun-off to become an independent entity.

As my Fool colleague Mitch noted last Friday, the benefit of this spin-off is that the entity would have a concentrated focus on unlocking value purely from lithium extraction, which may lead to gains in internal efficiency and, ultimately, a better share price performance.

Mineral Resources share price snapshot

The Mineral Resources share price made a new all-time high yesterday, with shares closing at $73.08 each for the day. They have since reached a newer all-time high of $75.65 this morning.

Shares of the mining services company are trading for $74.99 at the time of writing, a rise of 2.61%.

The company share price is up 33.91% year to date. Meanwhile, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is down 5.94% over the same period.

The company's market capitalisation is $13.84 billion.

A previous version of this article suggested there to be an 86% upside to the Mineral Resources share price, according to UBS. The potential 86% upside noted by UBS is, however, for the lithium portion of the business. This has since been corrected.

Motley Fool contributor Matthew Farley has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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