Up 30% in a month, can the Pilbara Minerals share price keep rising?

Is this lithium share going to keep rising?

The Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS) share price has been in fine form in recent weeks.

Since this time last month, the lithium miner's shares have stormed 31% higher to $3.12.

A woman sits on a step laughing at something on her mobile phone as it is being charged by a lithium-powered battery.

Image source: Getty Images

Can the Pilbara Minerals share price keep rising?

The good news for investors is that the Pilbara Minerals share price rally may not be over just yet.

That's the view of one leading broker that has just bumped its price target materially higher from previous levels.

According to a note out of Citi, its analysts have retained their buy rating but lifted their price target by 40% to $3.60.

Based on the current Pilbara Minerals share price, this implies potential upside of 15% for investors over the next 12 months.

What did the broker say?

While Citi has reduced its FY 2022 earnings estimate to reflect the company's recent update, it has given its FY 2023 and FY 2024 estimates a major boost to reflect higher spodumene price assumptions.

The broker explained:

We update our model for the JunQ result and Citi's higher spodumene deck. JunQ nos were pre-released –see: Cash flows in JunQ. Capex for expansion gets front-end loaded — with new info definitive cash costs of US$462/t CIF ex royalties. FY23 guidance to come with the financial result in August. Key interest at the result will be on capital management; PLS ended JunQ with A$874.2m including letters of credit.

Our EBITDA reduces by 9% in FY22e to A$840m after updating for the result. However, EBITDA lifts materially in FY23e and FY24e given higher spodumene prices. NAV lifts ~16% to A$2.70/sh and our TP lifts 40cps to A$3.60/sh. We stay Buy rated here with expectations of +15% FCF in FY23e.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

Two business men looking at financial data, charts, and graphs on a digital tablet and a laptop computer.
Materials Shares

Alcoa posts higher net income, sets sights on AliGroup completion

Alcoa reported third quarter 2026 results, with higher net income and progress on the AliGroup acquisition.

Read more »

A woman sits in a cafe wearing a polka dotted shirt and holding a latte in one hand while reading something on a laptop that is sitting on the table in front of her
Materials Shares

Orora FY26 earnings: Cans strong, Glass under pressure

Orora's FY26 results show strength in Cans but ongoing challenges for Glass, including a substantial non-cash impairment.

Read more »

Three people at a building site discussing a plan whilst eating.
Materials Shares

Fletcher Building posts higher volumes in Q1 FY27, residential lags

Fletcher Building posted Q1 FY27 sales volume growth in several key business units, though residential activity stayed challenging.

Read more »

A bland looking man in a brown suit opens his jacket to reveal a red and gold superhero dollar symbol on his chest.
Materials Shares

2 ASX lithium shares to buy with 38% to 120% upside

Bell Potter sees potential for these shares to rise strongly over the next 12 months.

Read more »

Female miner in hard hat and safety vest on laptop with mining drill in background.
Materials Shares

Why are Lynas Rare Earths shares crashing 6% today?

Are Lynas Rare Earths shares a buy, sell, or hold now?

Read more »

Businessman planning and analysing investment data.
Materials Shares

Forget PLS, this ASX lithium stock could rise 80%

Is this lithium miner about to roar higher? Here's what Bell Potter is predicting.

Read more »

Couple using their digital tablet together.
Materials Shares

Orica updates on North American supply and land sales

Orica secures key North American supply and updates on land sales, supporting future growth and shareholder value.

Read more »

Man analysing data on his laptop.
Materials Shares

Forget BHP and buy this ASX copper stock

Bell Potter thinks there could be big returns on offer from this stock.

Read more »