Is the CBA share price a buy after the bank's FY22 results?

Is now a good time to buy CBA's shares?

| More on:
A woman in a bright yellow jumper looks happily at her yellow piggy bank representing bank dividends and in particular the CBA dividend

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) share price was out of form on Wednesday.

The banking giant's shares ended the day 0.3% lower at $101.00.

Why did the CBA share price edge lower?

Investors were selling down the CBA share price despite the banking giant delivering a full year result a touch ahead of expectations.

For example, according to a note out of Goldman Sachs, the bank's earnings were 2% ahead of its expectations thanks to better than expected bad and doubtful debts. In addition, the CBA final dividend was slightly ahead of the broker's expectations and its CET1 ratio was 8 basis points ahead of estimates at 11.5%.

Judging by the CBA share price performance, it seems as though the market was expecting an even stronger result. And with that not coming, they decided to hit the sell button.

Is it time to invest?

Unfortunately, despite Australia's largest bank outperforming its expectations, Goldman Sachs hasn't seen enough to change its recommendation.

It continues to rate the bank as a sell with an improved price target of $86.86.

Based on the current CBA share price, this implies potential downside of 14% for investors over the next 12 months.

Why is Goldman bearish?

While Goldman acknowledges that CBA is a high quality bank and that its fundamentals remain strong, it just can't justify the premium valuation of the CBA share price.

It explained:

Overall we reiterate our Sell rating, given: i) while operating trends remain strong with volume growth best amongst the major bank peer group (3 month annualised 0.9x system vs. NAB also at 0.9x, WBC 0.7x, ANZ 0.6x), and ii) CBA has the best leverage of the major banks to higher rates, iii) it is also more exposed to sector wide headwinds such as intense mortgage price competition, as well as further potential macro downside that appears likely to more adversely impact the household this cycle. Overall, we do not believe its fundamentals justify the 56% 12-mo forward PER premium it is currently trading on versus peers, compared to the 19% historic average.

More on Bank Shares

A woman wearing yellow smiles and drinks coffee while on laptop.
Bank Shares

One day, CBA shares will go down. Here's how to keep it from hurting your portfolio

Don’t bank on CBA going up forever.

Read more »

Woman and man calculating a dividend yield.
Bank Shares

Is the Macquarie share price worth $200 after its FY25 update?

Here’s a top broker’s view on the global investment bank.

Read more »

A male investor wearing a white shirt and blue suit jacket sits at his desk looking at his laptop with his hands to his chin, waiting in anticipation.
Bank Shares

ANZ shares: Cuts, allegations, and a bond deal gone bad

The verdict is still out on whether the anomaly was a coincidence or not. Yet, ANZ is already trying to…

Read more »

A man holds his hand under his chin as he concentrates on his laptop screen and reads about the ANZ share price
Bank Shares

How big could the returns from Westpac shares be in 2025?

Is this bank primed to deliver further strong performance? Here’s one broker’s view.

Read more »

A woman wearing a black and white striped t-shirt looks to the sky with her hand to her chin contemplating buying ASX shares today as the market rebounds
Bank Shares

6% yield: Are ANZ shares a no-brainer buy for passive income?

Here are my thoughts on buying the 6%-yielding ANZ right now.

Read more »

A woman sits on sofa pondering a question.
Bank Shares

Should ASX investors be worried about the low CBA dividend yield?

CBA’s dividend attractiveness seems to be decreasing.

Read more »

A young bank customer wearing a yellow jumper smiles as she checks her bank balance on her phone.
Bank Shares

Research shows winners keep on winning. Should you stick to CBA shares?

The verdict is out, but data says winners can keep on winning.

Read more »

Bank building with the word bank in gold.
Bank Shares

Why are ASX 200 bank shares REALLY surging in 2024?

Was it due to fundamentals, or purely sentiment?

Read more »