OZ Minerals 'completely in play': Broker on BHP takeover bid

BHP's bid for OZ Minerals may not be over…

| More on:
Two men in business attire play chess.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

On Monday, the OZ Minerals Limited (ASX: OZL) share price was the star of the show.

The copper miner's shares rocketed 35% higher to end the day at $25.59.

Why did the OZ Minerals share price rocket higher?

Investors were bidding the OZ Minerals share price higher after the company confirmed that it had received and rejected a non-binding takeover approach from BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP).

The Big Australian tabled an offer of $25.00 per share, which BHP's CEO, Mike Henry, described as representing "compelling value and certainty" for shareholders.

However, the OZ Minerals board didn't see things the same way. They rejected the offer on the belief that it "significantly undervalues OZ Minerals."

What's next?

Well, the good news for shareholders is that one leading broker believes that OZ Minerals is "still in play."

According to a note out of Bell Potter, its analysts believe that an improved offer could be on the way from BHP or even from a second suitor. It commented:

In our view this puts OZL completely in play and, with an open register dominated by non-strategic institutional investors, we believe the chances of completion of the acquisition of OZL are high. We also believe this will be seen as an initial offer from BHP and that institutions will want to be compensated for the lack of large-cap investable copper producer options on the ASX.

In the first instance, we expect a higher cash bid from BHP as the deal makes strategic sense and offers production growth in a secure jurisdiction. We also believe the scarcity of comparable assets in comparable jurisdictions makes the chances of a competing counter-offer reasonable.

However, despite the potential for an improved bid, the broker has downgraded OZ Minerals' shares to a hold rating with a $25.00 price target. It concludes:

[T]he risk-adjusted potential upside is insufficient for us to maintain a Buy rating and we downgrade to Hold, with a strategy to see through to completion of an all-cash acquisition of OZL by BHP or a competing bidder at the current offer price or higher.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

busy trader on the phone in front of board depicting asx share price risers and fallers
Resources Shares

Brokers issue new price targets on soaring ASX 200 mining shares

ASX 200 mining shares BHP, PLS Group, South32, and many others hit multi-year highs this week.

Read more »

Business people standing at a mine site smiling.
Resources Shares

Buying BHP and Rio Tinto shares? Here's how the ASX mining giants are partnering up

Rio Tinto and BHP are shaking things up in Western Australia.

Read more »

Two young male miners wearing red hardhats stand inside a mine and shake hands
Resources Shares

Mining momentum: 2 ASX stocks that could surprise investors this January

Copper demand is rising fast in 2026, putting Sandfire Resources and Rio Tinto back in focus.

Read more »

Two miners standing together with a smile on their faces.
Resources Shares

Fortescue shares vs. BHP: Which delivered superior returns in 2025?

We compare the 12-month returns of the two biggest ASX 200 mining shares, BHP and Fortescue.

Read more »

A gloved hand holds lumps of silver against a background of dirt as if at a mine site.
Resources Shares

Silver just tumbled 5% today. What on earth is going on?

Silver fell 5% after record highs as profit taking hit demand.

Read more »

Engineer looking at mining trucks at a mine site.
Resources Shares

Gallium has been earmarked as a critical mineral. Here's how you can get exposure on the ASX

These four companies are all looking to become producers.

Read more »

A woman is very excited about something she's just seen on her computer, clenching her fists and smiling broadly.
Resources Shares

Up 113% since April, why this $4 billion ASX 200 mining stock is tipped to keep outperforming in 2026

A leading broker forecasts more outperformance from this surging ASX 200 mining stock.

Read more »

Three miners stand together at a mine site studying documents with equipment in the background
Resources Shares

BHP shares hover near 52-week high as momentum builds. Is a breakout coming?

BHP shares trade near a 52-week high as buyer momentum supports the uptrend.

Read more »