Broker sees 23% upside and a huge yield for BHP shares

BHP shares could offer the winning combination of strong gains and big dividends…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • BHP shares are trading at 2022 lows following a tough week
  • Goldman Sachs sees this as a buying opportunity for investors
  • Its analysts believe BHP's shares could offer the winning combination of strong gains and big dividends

The BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) share price has come under pressure this week following a pullback in the iron ore price.

This means the mining giant's shares are now trading at their lowest levels in 2022.

Three miners wearing hard hats and high vis vests take a break on site at a mine as the Fortescue share price drops in FY22

Image source: Getty Images

Is the BHP share price a buying opportunity?

The team at Goldman Sachs are likely to see the pullback in the BHP share price as a buying opportunity.

Last week, the broker reiterated its buy rating with a $49.40 price target. This implies potential upside of 23% for investors over the next 12 months.

And sweetening the deal even further, the broker is forecasting a fully franked dividend yield of over 12% in FY 2022.

This stretches the total potential return on offer with the Big Australian's shares to approximately 35% for investors.

What is Goldman saying?

Goldman Sachs has named three key reasons for its positive view on the BHP share price. This includes its current valuation relative to peers, its production growth pipeline, and its strong free cash flow generation.

Goldman explained:

1. Relative valuation: BHP to continue trading at a premium to global mining peers (~0.5x premium to global mining peers over 10-yrs) which we believe can be maintained

2. ~US$20bn copper pipeline to drive production growth and value: BHP's major opportunity (and challenge) is offsetting copper reserve depletion and grade decline through investing in copper reserves/resources (largest globally).

3. Attractive FCF and capital returns outlook: BHP is trading on an attractive FCF/DPS yield of c. 11%/8% over the next 12-m. BHP's minerals capex increasing to US$8-9bn by mid-decade (but below peer RIO at US$9-10bn).

All in all, this could make BHP shares a great option if you're looking for exposure to the mining sector.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

A sad Carnaby Resources miner holds his head in his hands
Resources Shares

ASX 200 mining shares ride a rollercoaster in March quarter

Sharp gains in January and February were unwound in March.

Read more »

Group of thoughtful business people with eyeglasses reading documents in the office.
Resources Shares

BHP shares: 3 reasons to buy and 3 reasons to sell

The mining giant's shares spiked to an all-time high earlier this month but quickly tumbled back down.

Read more »

Miner standing and smiling in a mine field.
Resources Shares

This ASX stock just landed a 10-year US deal and investors are buying in

Metallium shares jump after locking in a 10-year US metals deal.

Read more »

A graphic design of drilling rigs.
Resources Shares

This ASX mining stock is heading south again today. Here's why

Investors are looking ahead to a major June resource catalyst.

Read more »

Factory worker wearing hardhat and uniform showing new metal products to the manager supervisor.
Resources Shares

Why are Australian aluminium shares charging higher today?

Major market disruptions have stocks on the move.

Read more »

Miner and company person analysing results of a mining company.
Broker Notes

3 reasons to buy BHP shares today

Two leading investment analysts offer their outlook for the BHP share price.

Read more »

A coal miner smiling and holding a coal rock, symbolising a rising share price.
Resources Shares

Which junior ASX mining company's shares are surging on positive news?

This company's Algerian project is firming up.

Read more »

A man in a hard hat and high visibility vest holds his thumb up in a gesture of confidence with heavy moving equipment in the background as on a mine site as the Chalice Mining share price rises today.
Resources Shares

3 reasons why this could be a great time to buy Fortescue shares!

This could be a smart time to look at the Australian mining giant.

Read more »