Broker sees 23% upside and a huge yield for BHP shares

BHP shares could offer the winning combination of strong gains and big dividends…

| More on:
Three miners wearing hard hats and high vis vests take a break on site at a mine as the Fortescue share price drops in FY22

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • BHP shares are trading at 2022 lows following a tough week
  • Goldman Sachs sees this as a buying opportunity for investors
  • Its analysts believe BHP's shares could offer the winning combination of strong gains and big dividends

The BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) share price has come under pressure this week following a pullback in the iron ore price.

This means the mining giant's shares are now trading at their lowest levels in 2022.

Is the BHP share price a buying opportunity?

The team at Goldman Sachs are likely to see the pullback in the BHP share price as a buying opportunity.

Last week, the broker reiterated its buy rating with a $49.40 price target. This implies potential upside of 23% for investors over the next 12 months.

And sweetening the deal even further, the broker is forecasting a fully franked dividend yield of over 12% in FY 2022.

This stretches the total potential return on offer with the Big Australian's shares to approximately 35% for investors.

What is Goldman saying?

Goldman Sachs has named three key reasons for its positive view on the BHP share price. This includes its current valuation relative to peers, its production growth pipeline, and its strong free cash flow generation.

Goldman explained:

1. Relative valuation: BHP to continue trading at a premium to global mining peers (~0.5x premium to global mining peers over 10-yrs) which we believe can be maintained

2. ~US$20bn copper pipeline to drive production growth and value: BHP's major opportunity (and challenge) is offsetting copper reserve depletion and grade decline through investing in copper reserves/resources (largest globally).

3. Attractive FCF and capital returns outlook: BHP is trading on an attractive FCF/DPS yield of c. 11%/8% over the next 12-m. BHP's minerals capex increasing to US$8-9bn by mid-decade (but below peer RIO at US$9-10bn).

All in all, this could make BHP shares a great option if you're looking for exposure to the mining sector.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

Female miner smiling at a mine site.
Share Gainers

Up 834% in a year, guess which ASX mining stock is hitting new all-time highs today

The ASX mining stock has gone from strength to strength over the past year.

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

Little-known ASX copper share catches Gina Rinehart's attention

Australia's richest person is investing in critical minerals at a rapid pace.

Read more »

Three miners looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

4 ASX small-cap mining insiders buying up big chunks of company shares

These companies were worthy of their directors' money in recent weeks.

Read more »

Three miners wearing hard hats and high vis vests take a break on site at a mine as the Fortescue share price drops in FY22
Resources Shares

Why the big three ASX 200 mining stocks are enjoying a banner day on Thursday

BHP, Fortescue and Rio Tinto shares are all catching some extra tailwinds today.

Read more »

Three miners wearing hard hats and high vis vests take a break on site at a mine as the Fortescue share price drops in FY22
Resources Shares

1 ASX 200 mining stock to buy and hold forever

Rio Tinto looks to me like a strong miner to own for the long term.

Read more »

A miner stands in front oh an excavator at a mine site
Opinions

Two ASX 200 mining stocks to buy now for the AI revolution

I think these two ASX miners are in the sweet spot amid the booming growth of AI.

Read more »

two men in hard hats and high visibility jackets look together at a laptop screen that one of the men in holding at a mine site.
Resources Shares

ASX 200 mining giants' copper project cops setback

BHP and Rio Tinto are struggling to get the go-ahead for a US copper mine.

Read more »

Miner and company person analysing results of a mining company.
Resources Shares

Why aren't big fund managers buying Fortescue shares?

ASX experts are reportedly shunning this popular miner...

Read more »