Can the Altium share price regain its previous highs in 2022?

It's been a difficult past few months for the Altium share price.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • Altium shares have lost 40% so far in 2022 following a heavy sell-off in the tech sector
  • The latest US consumer price index report is likely to further drag down the Altium share price this week
  • While several economists are predicting a US recession in 2023, some brokers believe Altium shares are undervalued at current prices

Like many other tech shares, the Altium Limited (ASX: ALU) share price has had a shocker of a run so far in 2022.

After reaching an all-time high of $45.30 on 30 December, the electronic design software company's shares closed Friday's session at $27.08. That represents a fall of more than 40% in the space of under six months.

While shares in the former market darling are down for now, let's take a look at whether a recovery is on the horizon.

School boy wearing glasses standing in front of chalk board with maths and share price calculations on it

Image source: Getty Images

Can the Altium share price recover lost ground?

Despite the company reporting a strong performance in its half-year results in February, the Altium share price has tanked. A 35% drop across the S&P/ASX All Technology Index (ASX: XTX) so far this year is taking a major toll.

A perfect storm of rising inflation as well as a global semiconductor chip shortage and general economic slowdown is sending tech investors fleeing.

And with Wall Street officially entering bear market territory overnight Aussie time, this week looks set to deliver more bad news for investors.

A number of economists are forecasting a recession in the United States within the early part of 2023.

The US consumer price index report released on Friday showed that inflation jumped 8.6% last month, more than the 8.3% forecast. This is the highest monthly inflation jump in the US in 41 years.

Inflation is continuing to be a key driver of share markets globally as investors brace for more rate hikes from the US Federal Reserve.

It's worth noting that Altium's revenue base is predominately derived from the United States, followed by Europe and then China.

The company does, however, remain debt-free and has a net cash balance of US$195 million (as of 31 December).

What do the brokers think?

A number of brokers weighed in on the Altium share price following the release of the company's half-year financial scorecard.

According to ANZ Share Investing, Jefferies cut its price target by 4.5% to $42.61 apiece for Altium shares. Based on the current share price, this still implies an upside of approximately of 57%.

In addition, Bell Potter has a 'buy' rating and a $41.25 price target. This reflects a potential increase of around 52% from where Altium shares last traded.

Altium share price snapshot

A rollercoaster 2022 has led the Altium share price to register a loss of 40% for the period.

The company's shares hit a 52-week low of $24.97 last month, and have struggled to regain much ground since.

On valuation grounds, Altium presides a market capitalisation of roughly $3.56 billion.

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has positions in Altium. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Altium. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Technology Shares

A female engineer inspects a printed circuit board for an artificial intelligence (AI) microchip company.
Technology Shares

Why it's time to look past the "SaaSpocolypse" and target Aussie tech

Here's why Aussies are pouring back into the tech sector.

Read more »

A financial expert or broker looks worried as he checks out a graph showing market volatility.
Technology Shares

I was going to buy these ASX tech stocks. Now, I'm not so sure

When the facts change, so should our buying...

Read more »

Two IT professionals walk along a wall of mainframes in a data centre discussing various things
Technology Shares

NextDC just raised $750 million, here's why the shares are climbing

The financial boost could spark the next phase of growth.

Read more »

A woman in a red dress holding up a red graph.
Technology Shares

This under the radar ASX tech company could deliver almost 50% returns: Broker

A strong growth forecast could underpin healthy returns.

Read more »

Overjoyed man celebrating success with yes gesture after getting some good news on mobile.
Technology Shares

Guess which ASX tech stock is rocketing 22% on big news

Let's see what is giving this tech stock a big lift on Friday.

Read more »

A smiling businessman sits at a desk with bags of money, indicating a share price rise after funding has been approved
Technology Shares

NEXTDC launches $750m wholesale notes to boost growth funding

NEXTDC lifts liquidity with $750m wholesale notes, supporting its capital plan and data centre growth ambitions.

Read more »

Military engineer works on drone.
Technology Shares

Up 209%, what's next for DroneShield shares?

Execution could drive long-term upside, but expect volatility ahead.

Read more »

Technology Shares

Why I'd invest $2,500 in Life360 and Pro Medicus shares today

Big share price declines don’t always mean broken businesses. Here’s why these shares stand out to me right now.

Read more »