Can Terra's Luna 2.0 avoid another 'death spiral'

Luna had a market cap of some US$28 billion before it collapsed last month.

| More on:
A woman looks in anticipation at her laptop, watching eagerly.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Today marks one month since the cracks appeared in Terra’s UST and Luna tokens 
  • The original Luna token, now Terra Classic, is worth a tiny fraction of its value last month 
  • The launch of Luna 2.0 is not going entirely according to investor hopes 

One month ago today, on 6 May, the first cracks began to emerge in Terra's stablecoin, TerraUSD (CRYPTO: UST), and the token that was meant to help it remain pegged to US$1, Terra (CRYPTO: LUNA).

At the time the algorithmic stablecoin, UST, was among the leading tokens pegged to the US dollar. And Luna had a market cap of some US$28 billion.

By 12 May the collapse of the tokens and the blockchain that supports them was well underway. UST was down 70% and Luna had dropped 97%.

With the cryptos entering what's called a 'death spiral' as crucial investor confidence evaporated, things only got worse from there.

Unable to rescue the original tokens, Terra co-founder Do Kwon and his supporters have pressed through with the launch of a new Terra blockchain, supported by two new tokens.

Namely TerraClassicUSD (CRYPTO: USTC) and Luna 2.0 which is called, well, Terra (CRYPTO: LUNA). Rather than rebrand the new Luna 2.0, the company changed the name of the original to Terra Classic (CRYPTO: LUNC).

UST itself is no more, and its blockchain has been officially halted. As for LUNC? It's gone from US$86 this time last month to 0.0081 US cents.

Can Terra's Luna 2.0 avoid another 'death spiral'

As part of the rescue plan, Terra 'airdropped' the new Luna tokens to existing holders.

But according to Thomas Dunleavy, senior analyst at crypto research firm Messari (quoted by Bloomberg):

The airdrop was really poorly structured. It rewarded equity holders – LUNA holders – over savers or bond holders – Anchor depositors or UST holders. Any network in crypto is built on trust, by not only users but also builders who commit their time and capital to grow the network.

So, can Terra's Luna 2.0 avoid a repeat of what happened to 1.0?

Time will tell.

But it's not off to a great start.

According to data from CoinMarketCap, the Terra Luna 2.0 price currently stands at US$5.11. That's down 74% from the US$19.54 the token was worth on 28 May.

The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns and has recommended Terra. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips. 

More on Cryptocurrencies

BTC spelt out on wooden blocks with a red sign going down.
Cryptocurrencies

Will the Bitcoin price crash in 2026?

Crash fears return, yet Bitcoin’s evolution suggests volatility is a feature, not a flaw.

Read more »

Scared looking people on a rollercoaster ride representing volatility.
Cryptocurrencies

Bitcoin price volatility is back. Should ASX investors pay attention?

Bitcoin’s wild week is a reminder of how quickly digital asset markets can reverse.

Read more »

A man sits at his computer with his head in his hands while his laptop screen displays a Bitcoin symbol and his desktop computer screen displays a steeply falling graph.
Cryptocurrencies

Bitcoin price collapse leads US$1 trillion crypto crash

Bitcoin, Ethereum and most every major crypto are in freefall. But why?

Read more »

Yellow an black bitcoin with a red arrow going down.
Cryptocurrencies

This is the only reason you should be buying Bitcoin right now

Bitcoin might be in the buy zone, but only if you buy for the right reason.

Read more »

A man sits at his computer with his head in his hands while his laptop screen displays a Bitcoin symbol and his desktop computer screen displays a steeply falling graph.
Cryptocurrencies

Why is the Bitcoin price getting smashed?

Crypto investors have been selling off their Bitcoin and Ethereum holdings. But why?

Read more »

Gold Bitcoins lying on a global finance currency chart with arrows shooting higher.
Cryptocurrencies

How to join the more than 10% of Aussies now invested in cryptocurrencies

Cryptocurrencies are now the third most popular investment for Australians, behind shares and cash.

Read more »

A man lays his head down on his arms at his desk in front of an array of computer screens and a laptop computer.
Cryptocurrencies

Bitcoin price slide sends world's top crypto into bear market

The Bitcoin price tumbled 21% from October’s all-time highs.

Read more »

A rich buisnessman buys luxury items with Bitcoin
Cryptocurrencies

What's sending the gold and Bitcoin price to new record highs?

Investors are sending Bitcoin and gold surging to new record highs. But why?

Read more »