Altium share price: Is it an ASX buy or a falling knife?

Is the Altium share price a buy or a sell today?

| More on:
A young woman sits at her desk in deep contemplation with her hand to her chin while seriously considering information she is reading on her laptop.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Altium is one of the ASX's most-followed growth shares 
  • But this ASX 200 tech share has had a nasty 2022 performance so far 
  • So is Altium a buy or a falling knife sell today? 

The Altium Limited (ASX: ALU) share price is enjoying a solid day of trading so far this Thursday. At the time of writing, Altium shares are up a healthy 1.34% at $33.19. That performance stands out against the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO), which is also up today, but by a far more muted 0.47%.

But this standout share price performance today doesn't put much of a dent in the rather dismal returns Altium shares have given investors since the start of the year. Year to date in 2022 so far, the printed circuit boards software-as-a-service (SaaS) company remains down by more than 25%. That's an unfortunate date range to be sure, since Altium actually hit its last all-time high right on new year's eve. That high came to $45.30 a share. 

So after such a significant slide over this year so far, many investors might be debating whether Altium shares are a buy today, or whether this company is nothing but a falling knife.

Well, let's see what one ASX broker reckons.

Altium share price: sell or buy today?

As my Fool colleague James covered last week, broker Bell Potter is one who is bullish on Altium shares at their current level. Bell Potter currently rates this ASX tech share as a buy. That comes with an elevated 12-month share price target of $41.25.

The broker reckons that the markets are interpreting the war in Ukraine as a negative for Altium, seeing as the company has a presence in Russia and research and development staff in Ukraine. However, Bell Potter notes that Russia only represents "1%-2% of Altium's revenue", and also highlights that the company has moved its Ukraine-based staff to Poland.

It also doesn't expect that the recently announced strategic partnership between Altium's competitors Cadence Design Systems and Dassault Systèmes will prove to be much of a headwind either. The broker notes that these two companies don't really compete in the same space as Altium, so investors don't have much to fret over.

As a result, Bell Potter is expecting strong profit growth from Altium going forward and thus sees the company as undervalued today.

If the broker's opinion regarding the Altium share price proves accurate, it would imply a potential upside of almost 25% over the next year.

No doubt that will be music to Altium investors' ears.

In the meantime, the current Altium share price gives this ASX 200 tech share a market capitalisation of $4.31 billion. That comes with a dividend yield of 1.27%. 

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns and has recommended Altium. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Technology Shares

Business people discussing project on digital tablet.
Technology Shares

Will the Droneshield share price double in 2026?

One broker sees potential for a 150% gain from current levels.

Read more »

Overjoyed man celebrating success with yes gesture after getting some good news on mobile.
Technology Shares

Why is this surging ASX tech stock jumping another 12% on Friday?

This growing company's shares are now up 380% since the start of the year.

Read more »

Man on computer looking at graphs
Technology Shares

3 reasons to buy Xero shares today

A leading investment expert has a bullish outlook on Xero shares. Let’s see why.

Read more »

A warehouse worker is standing next to a shelf and using a digital tablet.
Technology Shares

Is WiseTech shaping up as a bargain after its steep decline?

WiseTech shares have pulled back sharply in recent months, giving up a fair bit of the momentum they built earlier…

Read more »

discount asx shares represented by gold baloons in the form of thirty per cent.
Technology Shares

When a top ASX stock falls 30%, it gets my attention. Here's why

The recent share price fall has been hard to ignore, which raises the question of whether the market has overreacted…

Read more »

A man sits in casual clothes in front of a computer amid graphic images of data superimposed on the image, as though he is engaged in IT or hacking activities.
Technology Shares

Megaport shares tipped to jump another 60%: Here's why

Here's what will drive the shares higher over the next months.

Read more »

excited woman looking at ASX share price on computer screen
Technology Shares

4 reasons to buy this ASX 300 tech share today

A leading investment expert forecasts more outperformance from this ASX tech share.

Read more »

person sitting at outdoor table looking at mobile phone and credit card.
Technology Shares

Investors should put these 2 top ASX tech shares on the watchlist

These technology investments could deliver exciting growth.

Read more »