Why Macquarie says the BHP share price can gain another 19%

We check what one broker thinks could be in store for the BHP share price.

| More on:
a man wearing a hard hat and a high visibility vest stands with his arms crossed in front of heavy equipment at a mine site.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • The BHP share price is in the red today 
  • However, the company's shares have soared 24% year to date 
  • Analysts at Macquarie predict BHP's share price could soar even higher 

The BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) share price has soared 24% year to date but Macquarie analysts are tipping it could even go higher.

BHP shares are currently swapping hands at $51.28, a 1.29% fall. For perspective, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has dropped 0.76% so far today.

Let's check the outlook for BHP shares.

Could this share go even higher?

BHP shares could soar way beyond their current price, according to the team at Macquarie.

Analysts have placed an outperform rating on BHP with a $61 price target. That's 19% more than the current share price.

Macquarie believes elevated iron ore and coal prices will underpin strong earnings, cash flow, and dividends in the coming years.

As my Foolish colleague James reported, analysts predict BHP could deliver bumper profits in the near term due to these high commodity prices. Especially given the quality and low costs of its operations across a range of commodities and geographies.

Further, Macquarie is predicting BHP could deliver generous dividends in the future. Analysts foresee a fully franked dividend of $5.22 per share in FY 2022 and about $3.61 in FY 2023.

However, my Foolish colleague Zach recently reported 52% of analysts are neutral on the BHP share price. Further, 32% of brokers rate it as a buy, while 16% of analysts suggest their clients sell BHP shares.

BHP share price snapshot

The BHP share price has jumped 12% in the past year, while it has climbed almost 3% in the past month.

For perspective, the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has returned 8% over the past year.

BHP has a market capitalisation of about $260 billion based on the current share price.

The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Macquarie Group Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Resources Shares

A white EV car and an electric vehicle pump with green highlighted swirls representing ASX lithium shares
Resources Shares

3 reasons to buy this ASX 300 lithium share today

A leading investment analyst forecasts a big turnround for this well-funded ASX 300 lithium share.

Read more »

Image of young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Resources Shares

Bell Potter names two base metals companies which are worth a look

The broker has named two base metals miners it believes will outperform, with a focus on copper and nickel.

Read more »

Pile of copper pipes.
Resources Shares

This ASX 200 copper share is a buy – UBS

Mining analysts say this is a stock worth digging into.

Read more »

A gloved hand holds lumps of silver against a background of dirt as if at a mine site.
Resources Shares

Which Aussie silver company's shares are charging higher on positive news?

This company says the high silver price is changing the game for its South Australian silver project.

Read more »

A boy is about to rocket from a copper-coloured field of hay into the sky.
Resources Shares

Broker tips more than 15% upside for Orica shares after a "strong" start to the year

Orica shares are good buying at current levels, RBC Capital Markets says.

Read more »

Female miner in hard hat and safety vest on laptop with mining drill in background.
Resources Shares

Lynas shares: After a year of outperformance, is it still a buy?

Lynas investors have seen massive volatility. Is it a good time to buy?

Read more »

Iron ore price Vale dam collapse ASX shares iron ore, iron ore australia, iron ore price, commodity price,
Resources Shares

Rio Tinto milestone sends shares in resources tech stock higher

This company has passed a key due diligence milestone triggering a payment from global miner Rio Tinto.

Read more »

Engineer at an underground mine and talking to a miner.
Resources Shares

Up 263% since April are Mineral Resources shares still a good buy today?

A leading investment expert delivers his outlook for Mineral Resources surging shares.

Read more »