Do Affirm's warnings raise red flags for the Zip (ASX:Z1P) share price?

What's up with Zip shares today?

| More on:
A wide-eyed man peers out from a small gap in his black zipped jumper conveying fear over the weak Zip share price

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • The ASX 200 is having a disappointing day today
  • But Zip shares are faring far worse than the overall market
  • Let's take a look at what might be spooking investors today...

The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is, unfortunately, having a pretty depressing end to the week so far this Friday. At the time of writing, the ASX 200 is down by 0.71% after falling a little further earlier in the trading day. But the Zip Co Ltd (ASX: Z1P) share price is putting that move to shame.

Zip shares are currently down a nasty 6.2% at just $2.88 each That's a lot closer to the company's 52-week low of $2.78 than its 52-week high of $14.53 a share. Today's move puts this buy now, pay later (BNPL) company's 2022 performance at a sobering -33.5%.

So what might be behind Zip's share price malaise this Friday?

Well, it's possible Zip shares have just been caught up in the selloff that has gripped the ASX tech shares sector. We've already covered Appen Ltd's (ASX: APX) nasty fall earlier today. So perhaps Zip is just experiencing a similar fate.

But there is some other relevant news out today that might be affecting investor's appetites for Zip shares too.

Last night (our time), the US BNPL company Affirm Holdings Inc (NASDAQ: AFRM) reported its quarterly results for the December quarter. As my Fool colleague Brooke covered this morning, Affirm was forced to release the results early after the company mistakenly gave some of it away on Twitter.

Buy now, pay later? Investors are paying now, but not buying Zip shares…

Affirm reported a 77% increase in revenue over the quarter. But it also reported a net loss of US$159.7 million. Investors evidently weren't too impressed. The Affirm share price promptly crashed 21.4% over last night's US trading session.

So obviously some of this sentiment alone might have flown into the zip share price. Block Inc CDI (ASX: SQ2), the new owner of fellow BNPL provider Afterpay, has also lost a good chunk of change today.

But another warning came out of Affirmt that might have spooked investors even further.

According to reporting in the Australian Financial Review (AFR) today, Michael Linford, chief financial officer (CFO) at Affirm, warned investors that rising interest rates pose a massive risk to Affirm's business. He said that a "1 per cent lift in rates 'beyond current expectations' would result in 20 basis point impact to revenue less transaction costs as a percentage of gross merchant value in FY2023".

Investors in both the US and here in Australia are already arguably on edge over inflation and interest rate rises. So that was probably not what investors wanted to hear. Worryingly for Zip, it's possible that the same factors could affect Zip's own business in a similar fashion.

So that might be why ASX investors are punishing Zip shares today so far.

At the current Zip share price, this ASX BNPL share has a market capitalisation of $1.71 billion. 

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns and has recommended Block, Inc. and ZIPCOLTD FPO. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on BNPL shares

A man pulls a shocked expression with mouth wide open as he holds up his laptop.
BNPL shares

Zip share price charges higher on Q3 results and stellar US growth

How did Zip perform during the quarter?

Read more »

A businessman carrying a briefcase looks at a square peg or block sinking into a round hole.
BNPL shares

Why is the Block share price getting pulped on Friday?

ASX 200 investors are bidding down the Block share price on Friday.

Read more »

A woman sits back and enjoys the view from a paraglider, indicating share price lifts for ASX travel and adventure shares
BNPL shares

Up 71% in 3 weeks, have Zip shares topped out?

Despite the stellar run higher, Zip shares are still trading at a fraction of their February 2021 highs.

Read more »

A woman sits on a chair smiling as she shops online.
BNPL shares

Why is the Zip share price the best-performing ASX 300 stock so far this year?

The best-performing ASX 300 stock of 2024 so far is an unlikely hero.

Read more »

A happy girl in a yellow playsuit with a zip gives the thumbs up
Share Gainers

If I'd put $5,000 into Zip shares on 9 October, here's what I'd have now!

The stars have been aligning for Zip shares.

Read more »

woman using affirm to pay
BNPL shares

Up 288% in 6 months, Zip share price tipped for more outsized gains

Zip shares have rocketed 288% in just six months.

Read more »

A businessman stacks building blocks.
BNPL shares

Up 93% since October, why are Block shares marching ahead again on Friday?

ASX 200 investors have been snapping up Block shares.

Read more »

A man wearing glasses and a white t-shirt pumps his fists in the air looking excited and happy about the rising OBX share price
BNPL shares

Zip share price up 58% in 7 trading days! What's going on?

This BNPL provider has been on fire recently. But why?

Read more »