Where next for the South32 (ASX:S32) share price after rising 54% in 2021?

Can South32 shares keep rising?

| More on:
A happy miner pointing.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The South32 Ltd (ASX: S32) share price is pushing higher again on Monday.

In afternoon trade, the mining giant's shares are up almost 1% to $3.88.

This means the South32 share price is up 54% in 2021 and trading close to its 52-week high.

Where next for the South32 share price?

The good news for investors is that the South32 share price can keep rising according to a number of brokers.

Two that are particularly positive are Goldman Sachs and Morgans.

In respect to the latter, last week Morgans upgraded the miner's shares to an add rating with a $4.10 price target. Whereas the former has a conviction buy rating and $4.40 price target on South32's shares.

Both brokers are also forecasting big dividends in the near term. For example, Goldman Sachs expects double digit, fully franked dividend yields for the next five financial years.

What did the brokers say?

Morgans likes South32 due to its upside potential, generous yield, and commodity diversification.

The broker explained: "We upgrade our recommendation on S32 to Add, from Hold, seeing an attractive investment proposition of upside to our target, an attractive 7.6% dividend yield FY22F [at the time], and capacity to keep pursuing new growth. S32 also boasts superior diversification compared to its fellow ASX mining peers (with BHP divestments in oil & gas and coal, RIO's oversized iron ore exposure, and FMG's single exposure to iron ore and ground-floor entry into renewables)."

Whereas Goldman Sachs is positive on the South32 share price partly due to its valuation and free cash flow yield.

Goldman said: "We forecast a FCF yield of c. 16-18% in FY22 & FY23 (over 20% at spot) [at the time], driven mostly by exposure to base metals (aluminium & alumina c. 50% of FY22 EBITDA, zinc/nickel c. 20%)."

All in all, the South32 share price may be up materially this year, but these brokers don't believe it is too late to invest.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

A young man goes over his finances and investment portfolio at home.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: DroneShield, Macquarie, and Wesfarmers shares

What do analysts think of these popular shares?

Read more »

A smiling woman holds a Facebook like sign above her head.
Broker Notes

Analysts say these 3 Australian shares are buys

These shares have been given a big thumbs up from brokers.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Develop Global, Metcash, and Treasury Wine shares

Let's see what analysts are saying about these shares.

Read more »

Two university students in the library, one in a wheelchair, log in for the first time with the help of a lecturer.
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to snap up these shares.

Read more »

Australian dollar notes in the pocket of a man's jeans, symbolising dividends.
Broker Notes

Up 109% in a year, 3 reasons to buy this ASX All Ords share today

A leading broker expects this surging ASX All Ords share to outperform again in 2026.

Read more »

Rocket powering up and symbolising a rising share price.
Broker Notes

Up 162% in 6 months! Expert tips this surging ASX lithium stock to double again

Soaring higher?

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

A female ASX investor looks through a magnifying glass that enlarges her eye and holds her hand to her face with her mouth open as if looking at something of great interest or surprise.
Broker Notes

These ASX 200 shares could rise 20% to 50%

Analysts are expecting outsized returns from these shares in 2026.

Read more »