This fundie shorted Polynovo (ASX:PNV) shares in 2019. Here's how much he would have made

Was PolyNovo a good short idea?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The PolyNovo Ltd (ASX: PNV) share price has been well and truly out of form in 2021.

Since the start of the year, the medical device company's shares have fallen a massive 63.5%.

This makes the PolyNovo share price one of the worst performers on the All Ordinaries this year.

Model bear in front of falling line graph, cheap stocks, cheap ASX shares

Image source: Getty Images

Short seller delight

While shareholders will be very disappointed with PolyNovo share price performance this year, short sellers will be licking their lips.

At the last count, approximately 7.6% of the company's shares were held by short sellers. These are investors that profit if the PolyNovo share price declines, rather than when it appreciates in value.

One of those short sellers could be Regal Funds Management. A touch over two years ago, the specialist alternatives investment manager's Chief Investment Officer, Phil King, named PolyNovo as his top short idea at the 2019 conference.

On the day, 22 November 2019, the PolyNovo share price was trading at $1.92. Things didn't get off to a great start for the pick, with the company's shares soon rocketing higher after its NovoSorb BTM product was granted a certificate of conformance (CE Mark) approval for sale throughout UK/Ireland and the European Union.

In fact, before being caught up in the COVID-19 crash in February 2020, the PolyNovo share price had risen 61% since being picked to $3.09.

Things then get better for short sellers before they get worse…

It remains unknown whether Regal Funds held on during this time and wore the paper losses. If it did, it would have been pleased to see the company's shares fall to $1.54 during the early stage of the COVID-induced market volatility in March 2020.

If the short seller closed their position at that point, it would have meant a return of 20% less carrying costs. Though, that is hardly an achievement given that if you went short on almost anything in February, you would have made huge returns in March after the market meltdown.

Unfortunately for any short sellers that didn't sell at that point, the PolyNovo share price eventually found its legs and started its ascent soon after. It even managed to reach as high as $4.08 by December 2020. This is 112% higher than the price it was trading at when picked as a short around a year earlier.

All's well that ends well

The good news for Regal Funds, if it is still shorting PolyNovo, is that this year has been horrendous for the company. Weaker than expected sales growth and the surprise exit of its CEO have all weighed heavily on the PolyNovo share price.

This has left it trading at $1.44 today, which is 25% lower than when nominated as a short pick. Though, after factoring in the carrying costs, one wonders whether it would have been worth all that volatility.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns and has recommended POLYNOVO FPO. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Healthcare Shares

young female doctor with digital tablet looking confused.
Healthcare Shares

Telix shares are tumbling. Is the stock finally at fair value?

Telix's sell-off reflects valuation, competition, and heightened growth expectations.

Read more »

Stethoscope with a piggy bank and hundred dollar notes.
Healthcare Shares

Why I'd buy Medibank shares for the dividend yield

Medibank is providing investors with very healthy dividends.

Read more »

Scientists working in the laboratory and examining results.
Healthcare Shares

Fisher & Paykel Healthcare shares: Earnings outlook upgraded for FY27

Here's what the company expects to report for FY 2027.

Read more »

Teamwork, planning and meeting with doctors and laptop for medical, review and healthcare. Medicine, technology and internet with group of people for collaboration, diversity and support in hospital
Test Only

Pacific Edge FY26: Loss widens but Medicare draft boost lifts outlook

Pacific Edge’s FY26 loss grew, but US Medicare draft coverage for its diagnostic tests supports a more positive outlook going…

Read more »

Teamwork, planning and meeting with doctors and laptop for medical, review and healthcare. Medicine, technology and internet with group of people for collaboration, diversity and support in hospital
Healthcare Shares

Why I'd buy CSL, Cochlear, and Pro Medicus shares

These are three ASX healthcare shares I would be happy to own for years.

Read more »

Portrait, confidence and team of doctors in the hospital standing after a consultation or surgery. Success, healthcare and group of professional medical workers in collaboration at a medicare clinic.
Earnings Results

Sonic Healthcare share price in focus on FY26 profit jump and digital push

The healthcare company is paying total dividends of $1.08 per share in FY 2026.

Read more »

A man closely watches a clock.
Healthcare Shares

CSL shares are flying higher. Is it too late to buy?

CSL must now deliver faster earnings growth to justify its rally.

Read more »

Happy, tablet or doctor in a laboratory with research results or positive feedback after medical data analysis. Smile, vaccine or healthcare worker reading or working on futuristic science innovation.
Earnings Results

Telix Pharmaceuticals delivers robust half-year earnings and pipeline progress

The radiopharmaceuticals company has handed down its half-year results this morning.

Read more »