Why this top broker says the Cochlear (ASX:COH) share price is heading lower

Are Cochlear's shares overvalued?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Cochlear Limited (ASX: COH) share price is back on form on Tuesday.

In afternoon trade, the hearing solutions company's shares are up 1% to $213.25.

This means the Cochlear share price is now up 12% in 2021.

young woman reviewing financial reports at desk with multiple computer screens

Image Source: Getty Images

Where next for the Cochlear share price?

Unfortunately, one leading broker is calling time on the Cochlear share price gains.

According to a recent note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts have retained their sell rating and $197.00 price target on the company's shares.

Based on the current Cochlear share price, this implies potential downside of almost 8% for its shares over the next 12 months.

What did the broker say?

While Goldman Sachs expects trading conditions to improve given the vaccine rollout, it does have concerns that demand could take longer to recover. This is due to a combination of cochlear implant surgeries being highly elective and potential hesitancy from older patients.

Goldman said: "Although improving vaccination rates against a challenging comparator should set up COH for a relatively stronger period, implant surgeries are highly elective. Although COH is a high-quality operator, leveraged to a recovery in procedure volumes, it is possible there is some persistent hesitancy amongst a proportion of its target market in DMs (aged 70+)."

In addition, although the broker is a fan of the company, it doesn't see enough value in the Cochlear share price to change its recommendation to something more positive at this point.

"Whilst there are many reasons to like the stock, at current valuation, we continue to see better value elsewhere across our coverage (COH 29.7x 2022E EV/EBITDA for +3% FY19-22E NPAT CAGR). We are Sell-rated on COH with a 12m TP of A$197 based on our target NTM EV/EBITDA multiple of 26.2x," Goldman explained.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and has recommended Cochlear Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Cochlear Ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

A man in his office leans back in his chair with his hands behind his head looking out his window at the city, sitting back and relaxed, confident in his ASX share investments for the long term.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Endeavour, Magellan, and Rio Tinto shares

The team at Morgans has been running the rule over these shares recently.

Read more »

A man casually dressed looks to the side in a pensive, thoughtful manner with one hand under his chin, holding a mobile phone in his hand while thinking about something.
Broker Notes

Should you buy Coles, Light & Wonder, and TPG Telecom shares in April?

Let's see if the team at Morgans rates these shares as buys ahead of the new month.

Read more »

Focused man entrepreneur with glasses working, looking at laptop screen thinking about something intently while sitting in the office.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Northern Star, Telix, and Virgin Australia shares

Let’s see if they are bullish or bearish on these names.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Broker Notes

Forget CBA shares and buy this ASX ETF: experts

Here's what experts are saying about these two investment options.

Read more »

Middle age caucasian man smiling confident drinking coffee at home.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: BHP, Guzman Y Gomez, and Pro Medicus shares

Are brokers bullish or bearish on these names? Let's find out.

Read more »

Red buy button on an Apple keyboard with a finger on it.
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to buy these shares.

Read more »

Humanoid robot analysing the stock market, symbolising artificial intelligence shares.
Broker Notes

Up 109% since November, are Appen shares still a buy today?

A leading expert digs into the outlook for Appen shares amid the rise of AI.

Read more »

A white and black clock face is shown with three hands saying Time to Buy reflecting Citi's view that it's time to buy ASX 200 banks
Broker Notes

3 reasons to buy Pro Medicus shares today

Two leading investment analysts believe Pro Medicus shares are primed for a rebound.

Read more »