Why this top broker says the Cochlear (ASX:COH) share price is heading lower

Are Cochlear's shares overvalued?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Cochlear Limited (ASX: COH) share price is back on form on Tuesday.

In afternoon trade, the hearing solutions company's shares are up 1% to $213.25.

This means the Cochlear share price is now up 12% in 2021.

young woman reviewing financial reports at desk with multiple computer screens

Image Source: Getty Images

Where next for the Cochlear share price?

Unfortunately, one leading broker is calling time on the Cochlear share price gains.

According to a recent note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts have retained their sell rating and $197.00 price target on the company's shares.

Based on the current Cochlear share price, this implies potential downside of almost 8% for its shares over the next 12 months.

What did the broker say?

While Goldman Sachs expects trading conditions to improve given the vaccine rollout, it does have concerns that demand could take longer to recover. This is due to a combination of cochlear implant surgeries being highly elective and potential hesitancy from older patients.

Goldman said: "Although improving vaccination rates against a challenging comparator should set up COH for a relatively stronger period, implant surgeries are highly elective. Although COH is a high-quality operator, leveraged to a recovery in procedure volumes, it is possible there is some persistent hesitancy amongst a proportion of its target market in DMs (aged 70+)."

In addition, although the broker is a fan of the company, it doesn't see enough value in the Cochlear share price to change its recommendation to something more positive at this point.

"Whilst there are many reasons to like the stock, at current valuation, we continue to see better value elsewhere across our coverage (COH 29.7x 2022E EV/EBITDA for +3% FY19-22E NPAT CAGR). We are Sell-rated on COH with a 12m TP of A$197 based on our target NTM EV/EBITDA multiple of 26.2x," Goldman explained.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and has recommended Cochlear Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Cochlear Ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

Businessman working and using Digital Tablet new business project finance investment at coffee cafe.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Cochlear, South32, and Westpac shares

Analysts have given their verdict on these popular shares.

Read more »

A young man goes over his finances and investment portfolio at home.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: ANZ, Breville, and Macquarie shares

Is Morgans bullish or bearish on these shares in April? Let's find out.

Read more »

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles while at laptop.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

Man sitting in a plane seat works on his laptop.
Broker Notes

Down 34% in 2026, are Virgin Australia shares a good buy today?

A leading analyst delivers his outlook for Virgin Australia’s beaten-down shares.

Read more »

Red buy button on an Apple keyboard with a finger on it.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy right now

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

A smiling woman holds a Facebook like sign above her head.
Broker Notes

Why these ASX shares are rated as buys in April

Let's see what makes them bullish on these names right now.

Read more »

Australian dollar notes in the pocket of a man's jeans, symbolising dividends.
Broker Notes

Are CBA shares still a good buy for passive income?

A leading analyst delivers his verdict on CBA’s passive income appeal.

Read more »

A financial expert or broker looks worried as he checks out a graph showing market volatility.
Broker Notes

Morgans names 2 ASX shares to buy and 1 to accumulate

What is the broker recommending investors do with these shares?

Read more »