Is the Westpac (ASX:WBC) share price a value trap or a bargain buy?

Are Westpac's shares a bargain buy?

| More on:
questioning whether asx share price is a buy represented by man in red shirt scratching his head

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) share price has been one of the worst performing ASX 200 shares over the last few weeks.

Since this time in late October, the banking giant's shares have lost 21% of their value.

Does this make the Westpac share price great value or a value trap?

Given the significant decline by the Westpac share price recently, investors may be wondering if its shares are great value or a value trap.

The team at Morgans has given its opinion on the matter this morning and appear convinced that the bank's shares are not a value trap.

Morgans has reiterated its add rating and $29.50 price target. Based on the current Westpac share price of $20.74, this implies potential upside of 42% for investors over the next 12 months.

What did Morgans say?

Morgans notes that the Westpac share price is trading at a level that would indicate that the market thinks it is a value trap, but it doesn't believe this is the case.

It commented: "WBC shares have been sold off heavily following the FY21 result announcement, such that out of the major banks, WBC is now trading on the lowest FY22F P/NTA multiple, the lowest FY22F P/E multiple and the highest FY22F dividend yield. Such multiples or yields could only be justified if WBC is a value trap, which we think it is not."

The broker explained that it does not feel the challenges facing the bank are anywhere near as severe as the market may think.

Morgans said: "We believe the challenges facing WBC are not severe enough for WBC to be thought of as a value trap. The two key sources of investor consternation in relation to WBC appear to be: net interest margin (NIM) contraction; and risks to achieving the $8bn cost target by FY24F."

"On the NIM front, we believe the challenge facing WBC is not too different to the NIM challenge facing CBA. […] However, what has made the NIM of WBC and CBA look particularly bad is the stable NIM (excluding Markets & Treasury) reported by NAB," it explained.

The good news is that the broker believes these factors of underperformance are addressable.

What about its costs target?

As for its costs, the broker believes the current Westpac share price indicates that the market believes the bank will only be able to cut its costs down from $10.2 billion to $9.5 billion by FY 2024. However, Morgans stated that "we expect WBC to do notably better than this and we consequently believe that the extent of pessimism being reflected in WBC's current share price is overdone."

All in all, the broker believes this has created a buying opportunity for investors, with Westpac remaining its top pick of the majors.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro owns shares of Westpac Banking Corporation. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Westpac Banking Corporation. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Share Market News

Gold nuggets with a share price chart.
Broker Notes

Up 199% in one year! Is it time to sell this barnstorming ASX 200 gold stock?

Can the rally continue?

Read more »

A young man clasps his hand to his head with a pained expression on his face and a laptop computer in front of him.
Share Market News

Why Myer, Nickel Industries, Platinum, and Vault Minerals shares are falling today

These shares are missing out on the market's move higher today. But why?

Read more »

Buy, hold, and sell ratings written on signs on a wooden pole.
Broker Notes

2 quality ASX All Ords shares to buy today

A leading expert tips two ASX All Ords shares to buy now.

Read more »

A senior investor wearing glasses sits at his desk and works on his ASX shares portfolio on his laptop.
Share Market News

ASX 200 stock falls after unveiling new note issue and tender offer to extend debt profile

The ASX 200 company is down 2% today.

Read more »

high share price
Share Gainers

Why Clinuvel, DroneShield, Nuix, and Telix shares are storming higher today

These shares are climbing more than most today. But why?

Read more »

Person holding a stack of boxes in front of a brick wall.
Broker Notes

Why this major industrial stock is a long-term buy

RBC Capital Markets says Amcor is a good long-term bet, but it's not without its challenges.

Read more »

Electric vehicle being charged.
Broker Notes

Macquarie names its top ASX lithium stock picks

Macquarie has named its four top ASX-listed lithium stocks as prices for the critical battery metal rebound.

Read more »

A young man in a blue suit sits on his desk cross-legged with his phone in his hand looking slightly crazed.
Broker Notes

Don't sell! Experts pick 3 ASX All Ords shares worth holding despite major price shifts

Let's find out why.

Read more »