Why this top broker downgraded Westpac (ASX:WBC) shares

Westpac's shares have been downgraded by a leading broker…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) share price was well and truly out of form on Monday.

The banking giant's shares sank 7.5% to $23.78 following the release of its full year results.

young woman reviewing financial reports at desk with multiple computer screens

Image Source: Getty Images

Is the weakness in the Westpac share price a buying opportunity?

The team at Goldman Sachs aren't convinced the Westpac share price weakness is a buying opportunity.

So much so, this morning the broker downgraded the bank's shares to a neutral rating and cut the price target on them by 11.5% to $25.60.

While this still offers decent upside of 7.5% for investors, the broker sees better value on offer elsewhere.

What did the broker say?

According to the note, Goldman was very disappointed with Westpac's weak net interest margin (NIM) outlook and its expenses. It feels the latter makes it hard for the bank to achieve its $8 billion cost target by FY 2024.

This led to Goldman downgrading its earnings estimates meaningfully for the coming years.

It explained: "We revise our FY22/23/24E EPS by -6.0%/-9.1%/-9.5% driven by: i) a weaker NIM trajectory, ii) lower other operating income from asset sales and weaker markets, partly offset by iii) better performance on BDDs."

"We downgrade WBC from a Buy to a Neutral highlighting the following key drivers: i) the significant reset in the margin at the 2H21 result provides a weak platform for revenue growth in FY22E; ii) with expenses disappointing in 2H21, we believe the potential for WBC to reach its FY24 cost target of A$8.0 bn should be more heavily discounted than previously was the case and we note that our like-for-like FY24E cost forecast is c. A$8.6 bn; iii) the benefits to non-interest income from increased economic activity are set to be offset by a loss of income from divestments, and iv) our revised TP offers only 7.5% upside," the broker concluded.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro owns shares of Westpac Banking Corporation. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Share Market News

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles while at laptop.
Broker Notes

Ord Minnett says this ASX 200 stock can rise 40%

Big returns could be on offer with this top stock.

Read more »

comical investor reading documents and surrounded by calculators
Broker Notes

6 ASX shares at 52-week lows: Buy, hold, or sell?

The market finished lower on Thursday as the conflict in Iran dragged on.

Read more »

A girl sits on her bed in her room while using laptop and listening to headphones.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a disappointing session for the markets this Thursday.

Read more »

Man going down a red arrow, symbolising a sliding share price.
Record Lows

This ASX retail giant's shares just hit a record low. What's going on?

Ongoing margin pressure keeps Endeavour shares near record lows.

Read more »

A wine technician in overalls holds a glass of red wine up to the light and studies it.
52-Week Lows

Treasury Wine shares just tumbled to 14-year lows. Screaming bargain or falling knife?

Trading at 14-year lows, are Treasury Wine shares poised for a rebound?

Read more »

A worried woman sits at her computer with her hands clutched at the bottom of her face.
Share Fallers

These 3 ASX 200 shares have hit fresh multi-year lows: Buy, sell or hold?

One of these stocks has crashed over 50% over the past year alone.

Read more »

Business people discussing project on digital tablet.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Breville, Collins Foods, and MA Financial shares

Let's see if analysts are bullish or bearish on these names.

Read more »

Smiling couple looking at a phone at a bargain opportunity.
Share Gainers

Why Catapult, DroneShield, Infratil, and Qoria shares are charging higher today

These shares are having a good session on Thursday. But why?

Read more »