Top broker tips CBA (ASX:CBA) share price slide to $80

Is the CBA share price too expensive?

| More on:
A group of market analysts sit and stand around their computers in an open-plan office environment.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) share price has been a very strong performer in 2021.

Since the start of the year, the banking giant's shares have risen a sizeable 25%.

This is more than double the return of the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) over the same period.

Where next for the CBA share price?

Unfortunately for shareholders, a number of leading brokers believe the CBA share price is overvalued and have the equivalent of sell ratings on the company.

One of the most bearish brokers is Morgans. According to a recent note, its analysts have a reduce rating and $80.00 price target on the shares of Australia's largest bank.

Based on the current CBA share price of $105.10, this suggests there's potential downside of almost 24% over the next 12 months.

What is being said?

The note reveals that Morgans believes CBA is a quality bank, it just feels its shares are overvalued at the current level.

The broker has previously stated: "While we continue to believe that CBA has a relatively high quality retail franchise and a relatively good risk profile, we continue to believe that CBA is expensive relative to the other major banks."

Elsewhere, earlier this month the team at Morgan Stanley retained their underweight and $90.00 price target on the bank's shares.

Its analysts note that CBA has significant exposure to housing loans. In fact, it estimates that approximately 60% of its total loan balance relate to home loans.

In light of this, home loan approvals are a key driver of loan growth for the bank. So, with APRA recently increasing bank loan serviceability expectations, it fears this could weigh on CBA's performance if it leads to lower home loan approvals.

Investors may not have to wait long to find out if this is the case. The banking giant is scheduled to release its first quarter results in the middle of next month. All eyes will be on the CBA share price that day.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

A man looks down with fright as he falls towards the ground.
52-Week Lows

Opportunity knocks? Broker ratings on 4 ASX shares at 52-week lows

These ASX shares hit fresh 52-week lows today.

Read more »

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles while at laptop.
Broker Notes

3 of the best ASX 200 stocks to buy in December

Let's see what Bell Potter is recommending to investors.

Read more »

A wide-smiling businessman in suit and tie rips open his shirt to reveal a green t-shirt underneath
Broker Notes

Expert says this barnstorming ASX lithium stock could soar by another 59%

Moving higher?

Read more »

Army man and woman on digital devices.
Broker Notes

Two ASX defence stocks to add to your christmas wish list

It seems the bull run for defence stocks isn't finished.

Read more »

Smiling man sits in front of a graph on computer while using his mobile phone.
Broker Notes

2 ASX shares highly recommended to buy: Experts

A lot of analysts rate these ASX shares as a buy.

Read more »

Two smiling work colleagues discuss an investment at their office.
Broker Notes

Morgans says to buy these two ASX shares

These ASX shares are worth monitoring according to Morgans.

Read more »

A male electricity worker in hard hat and high visibility vest stands underneath large electricity generation towers as he holds a laptop computer and gazes up at the high voltage wires overhead.
Broker Notes

Ord Minnett tips 40% upside for this ASX utilities stock

The wealth management firm has an optimistic view on this struggling stock.

Read more »

A man leaps from a stack of gold coins to the next, each one higher than the last.
Broker Notes

Up 131% since February, why this ASX All Ords gold share is forecast to more than double again

A leading broker expects this surging ASX gold stock to leap another 150%. But why?

Read more »