Why the Fortescue (ASX:FMG) share price is up 4% today

Higher iron ore prices is driving Fortescue shares higher on Monday.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG) share price has scored a turnaround on Monday, bouncing 3.65% higher to $14.77.

Happy miner giving ok sign in front of a mine.

Image source: Getty Images

Iron ore holding above US$120 a tonne

It was a quiet week for iron ore markets last week following China's week-long National Day holiday which ran between 1 and 7 October.

Iron ore prices rallied last Friday, 8 October with improved trading liquidity and recovering demand according to Fastmarkets.

Spot prices were up US$6.36 or 5.4% to US$123.38 a tonne.

Chinese iron ore futures which trade on the Dalian Commodity Exchanges also opened higher on Monday.

The most active futures contracts for January 2022 are up 2.87% to 768 yuan (US$119) a tonne.

What's the outlook for China?

China's focus on emissions and energy consumption has headlined the recent decline of iron ore prices. In addition, weak Chinese economic data and concerns surrounding its real estate market continue to weigh on iron ore markets.

BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) CEO Mike Henry spoke at the Financial Times Mining Summit last week, providing an upbeat view about China's growth and demand outlook.

"The big-picture outlook for commodities remains really healthy both in China and globally, where we are starting to see a bit of a pick-up in inflation, as well, which has been spoken about."

"Resources companies like BHP are right at the front end of that, and we are benefiting from that through prices for pretty much all of our commodities at this point," he said.

Looking over at China's housing market, Henry said "On the one hand, we are seeing pressure on housing starts, which will then impact on near-term steel demand.  On the other hand, activity on work underway remains very strong, and we are starting to see the pull-through to housing completions, which of course is going to bode well for copper demand.  So it is not all a bad news story."

"Our long-term outlook for China, with continuing strong growth there, has not really changed.  We acknowledge that there are some near-term disruptions occurring that have impacted things like iron ore pricing, but that will work its way through the system in due course," said Henry.

Fortescue share price snapshot

The Fortescue share price is down an ugly 40% year-to-date and down 12% in the past 12-months.

Encouragingly, it seems to have found a floor around the $14 level, coinciding with the recent rebound in iron ore prices.

Motley Fool contributor Kerry Sun has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Resources Shares

Red line going down on an ASX market chart, symbolising a falling share price.
ASX Share Market News

Why are PLS shares still falling? Here's what's behind the sell-off

Lithium prices are cooling, dragging PLS shares lower once again.

Read more »

Woman with gold nuggets on her hand.
Resources Shares

West African Resources posts June 2026 quarter gold production update

West African Resources delivered robust June quarter gold production and maintains confidence in its 2026 annual guidance.

Read more »

A hand holding a lump of rare earths material against a blue sky.
Resources Shares

Lynas Rare Earths inks $50m deal for new Malaysian magnet factory

Lynas Rare Earths is investing $50m in a Malaysian magnet factory partnership with JS Link, boosting its supply chain capabilities.

Read more »

Red buy button on an Apple keyboard with a finger on it.
Broker Notes

Up 57%! 3 compelling reasons to still buy BHP shares today

Two leading analysts deliver their outlooks for BHP’s outperforming shares.

Read more »

two business men sit across from each other at a negotiating table. with a large window in the background.
Resources Shares

Genesis Minerals proposes Vault merger to create gold powerhouse

Genesis Minerals has proposed a merger with Vault that would create a dominant gold producer valued at $12.6 billion.

Read more »

Miner with thumbs up at a mine.
Resources Shares

Capricorn Metals hits upper end of FY26 gold production guidance, advances project expansions

Capricorn Metals met its FY26 gold production guidance with strong Q4 output and progress on major growth projects.

Read more »

Businesswoman holds hand out to shake.
Resources Shares

Vault Minerals receives superior $5.6bn merger proposal from Genesis Minerals

Genesis Minerals has made a superior offer for Vault Minerals, valuing the company at $5.6 billion and offering a 15.7%…

Read more »

Teen standing in a city street smiling and throwing sparkling gold glitter into the air.
Resources Shares

Regis Resources hits top end of FY26 guidance

Regis Resources hit the top end of its production guidance in FY26, with strong gold output and a growing cash…

Read more »