Here's why the Afterpay (ASX:APT) share price is up 5% in a month

Afterpay shares have had quite a month…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT) share price just seems to be the gift that keeps on giving for ASX investors. Not only has this buy now, pay later (BNPL) pioneer shot up by more than 72% over the past 12 months, it has also managed to give investors a sizable 5.6% return over just the past month or so (since 5 August).

So what has gone so right for Aferpay investors over the past month?

Well, as anyone with even a remote interest in Afterpay would know by now, Afterpay is currently in the process of being acquired by the US payments giant Square Inc (NYSE: SQ). Last month, Afterpay announced that it would be bought out by Square in an all-scrip deal.

Once this deal reaches its conclusion, Afterpay investors will be receiving 0.375 shares of Square for every Afterpay share held.

Many investors historically struggled to value Afterpay. That's due to the company's status of boasting ballooning revenues but no profitability. At least as yet.

Happy woman holding up shopping bags

Image source: Getty Images

Afterpay share price worth whatever Squares

Well, that is no longer of any real concern. That's because, in the time that Afterpay has left as its own public company, there's a far easier way of valuing Afterpay shares: whatever 0.375 of a Square share is worth. That's the price that Afterpay shares will eventually be acquired at. As such, it arguably represents the company's 'value' to investors today.

So let's check out what the Square share price has done over the past month or so. Since 5 August, Square shares have gone from roughly US$281.80 to the most recent price of US$269.74. That's a fall of around 4%.

Even so, on today's exchange rates and the most recent Square share price, this offer of 0.375 Square shares per Afterpay share means that the offer is currently worth an Afterpay share price of approximately $135.95.

Afterpay shares are still a way away from this price. Because of this, it's possible that investors have moved to 'close the gap' over the past month or so. This would have the effect of pushing the Afterpay share price closer to the value of what 0.375 of a Square share is currently worth.

At Afterpay's closing share price of $132.88, the company has a market capitalisation of $38.55 billion.

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen owns shares of Square. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and has recommended AFTERPAY T FPO and Square. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended AFTERPAY T FPO. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on BNPL shares

Stressed man in an an office with his eyes closed and phone in his hand, with investing graphs open on two iMacs.
BNPL shares

Zip shares are getting crushed: What's gone wrong?

Zip’s 20 August update will test growth, profits, and credit quality.

Read more »

Two people comparing and analysing material.
BNPL shares

Should I buy Zip shares before the end of July?

The market expects profits to rise quickly from here. That creates considerable upside if Zip delivers.

Read more »

Happy man wearing a blue shirt and glasses holding a card and using buy now pay later services to purchase a product on his office computer
BNPL shares

$10,000 invested in Zip shares at the March lows is now worth…

While Zip shares are well down for the year, investors who bought at the March lows are sitting pretty.

Read more »

An older man throws his hands up in excitement as he rides a carnival swing high up in the air.
BNPL shares

Zip shares are going wild. What investors need to know

Zip's recovery is gaining momentum, but the biggest test lies ahead.

Read more »

An evening shot of a busy Times Square in New York.
BNPL shares

Could US expansion send Zip shares soaring further?

The fintech's biggest opportunity may still be unfolding in America.

Read more »

A happy shopper with a wide mouthed smile holds multiple shopping bags up around her shoulders.
BNPL shares

Why brokers think Zip shares could soar 50% or more in FY27

Experts believe Zip's earnings momentum could fuel another major rally.

Read more »

A woman smiles over the top of multiple shopping bags she is holding in both hands up near her face.
BNPL shares

Zip shares: 3 reasons to buy and 3 reasons to sell

Zip shares have fallen back into the red this week. Find out whether they're a buy or sell now.

Read more »

A man scratches his head in confusion.
BNPL shares

What on earth is going on with Zip shares?

Is Zip's latest rally real, or another classic false dawn?

Read more »