Is the NAB (ASX:NAB) share price in the buy zone after its Q3 update?

Are this banking giant's shares in the buy zone?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) share price is edging higher on Thursday following the release of its third quarter update.

At the time of writing, the banking giant's shares are up slightly to $27.24.

This means the NAB share price is now up almost 19% in 2021.

two women looking intently at computer screen

Image source: Getty Images

How did NAB perform in the third quarter?

During the third quarter, NAB reported an unaudited statutory net profit of $1.65 billion and unaudited cash earnings of $1.70 billion.

This was broadly in line with the average quarterly profit and cash earnings that it achieved during the first half of FY 2021.

What was the reaction the update?

The team at Goldman Sachs were pleased with NAB's quarterly performance. It notes that the bank is trading ahead of its second half expectations.

Goldman said: "NAB has released its 3Q21 trading update, with unaudited cash earnings from continuing operations of A$1.70 bn, up 1% on the previous period average, run-rating 11% ahead of what is implied by our current 2H21E forecasts."

"The better than expected performance is more than driven by BDDs [bad and doubtful debts] that are run-rating much lower than our current 2H21E forecasts."

"While headline PPOP [pre-provisioning operating profit] trends appear soft, this is largely on account of weak Markets and Treasury revenues (similar to CBA's result yesterday), with core trends broadly consistent with our current forecasts, highlighting that the core bank at NAB is again growing."

The broker also notes that NAB's CET1 ratio of 12.6% is running ahead of its forecasts as well.

Is the NAB share price in the buy zone?

According to the note, Goldman Sachs has a conviction buy rating and $30.34 price target on its shares.

Based on the current NAB share price, this implies potential upside of 11% over the next 12 months before dividends. This stretches to approximately 16% including dividends.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Bank Shares

two young boys dressed in business suits and wearing spectacles look at each other in rapture with wide open mouths and holding large fans of banknotes with other banknotes, coins and a piggybank on the table in front of them and a bag of cash at the side.
Bank Shares

How many ANZ shares do I need to buy for $10,000 of passive income?

Can ANZ deliver investors significant dividend income?

Read more »

Man holding different Australian dollar notes.
Dividend Investing

Invested in ASX 200 bank shares for dividends? This fundie prefers other stocks

James Gerrish explains which ASX stocks look better than banks for passive dividend income.

Read more »

Man holding a calculator with Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Bank Shares

If I invest $8,000 in Westpac shares, how much passive income will I receive in 2027?

Is the banking giant a good option for income investors? Let's find out.

Read more »

A woman looks quizzical while looking at a dollar sign in the air.
Bank Shares

$10,000 invested in CBA shares 5 years ago is now really worth…

CBA shares have outpaced the ASX 200 and inflation over the past five years. But by how much?

Read more »

A pink piggybank sits in a pile of autumn leaves.
Bank Shares

The RBA just held rates at 4.35%. Here's what it means for these ASX bank shares

The RBA held rates yesterday. Here's what that decision means for these ASX banks shares.

Read more »

A man thinks very carefully about his money and investments.
Bank Shares

Buying Macquarie shares? Here's the dividend yield you'll get today

Macquarie isn't your ordinary ASX bank stock.

Read more »

Excited group of friends watching sports on TV and celebrating.
Bank Shares

Macquarie shares climb to fresh all-time high: Buy, sell or hold?

Macquarie shares are now 23% higher for the year to date.

Read more »

View of a business man's hand passing a $100 note to another with a bank in the background.
Dividend Investing

If I invest $5,000 in CBA shares today, what passive income would I get in FY27?

Here's your potential income based on the latest dividend forecasts.

Read more »