Is the NAB (ASX:NAB) share price in the buy zone after its Q3 update?

Are this banking giant's shares in the buy zone?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) share price is edging higher on Thursday following the release of its third quarter update.

At the time of writing, the banking giant's shares are up slightly to $27.24.

This means the NAB share price is now up almost 19% in 2021.

two women looking intently at computer screen

Image source: Getty Images

How did NAB perform in the third quarter?

During the third quarter, NAB reported an unaudited statutory net profit of $1.65 billion and unaudited cash earnings of $1.70 billion.

This was broadly in line with the average quarterly profit and cash earnings that it achieved during the first half of FY 2021.

What was the reaction the update?

The team at Goldman Sachs were pleased with NAB's quarterly performance. It notes that the bank is trading ahead of its second half expectations.

Goldman said: "NAB has released its 3Q21 trading update, with unaudited cash earnings from continuing operations of A$1.70 bn, up 1% on the previous period average, run-rating 11% ahead of what is implied by our current 2H21E forecasts."

"The better than expected performance is more than driven by BDDs [bad and doubtful debts] that are run-rating much lower than our current 2H21E forecasts."

"While headline PPOP [pre-provisioning operating profit] trends appear soft, this is largely on account of weak Markets and Treasury revenues (similar to CBA's result yesterday), with core trends broadly consistent with our current forecasts, highlighting that the core bank at NAB is again growing."

The broker also notes that NAB's CET1 ratio of 12.6% is running ahead of its forecasts as well.

Is the NAB share price in the buy zone?

According to the note, Goldman Sachs has a conviction buy rating and $30.34 price target on its shares.

Based on the current NAB share price, this implies potential upside of 11% over the next 12 months before dividends. This stretches to approximately 16% including dividends.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Bank Shares

Bank building with the word bank in gold.
Bank Shares

ANZ share price rises 5% on 3Q FY26 update

Investors are looking past a 12% fall in the value of home loan applications since the Federal Budget.

Read more »

A bland looking man in a brown suit opens his jacket to reveal a red and gold superhero dollar symbol on his chest.
Bank Shares

Revealed: The ASX bank share with the highest dividend yield today

The highest-yielding bank right now might surprise you.

Read more »

Woman on her phone with a view of the Sydney Harbour Bridge in the background.
Bank Shares

Are CBA shares a buy after its results?

The result gave me more reasons to like CBA's business, while also highlighting one area that could become tougher.

Read more »

Two men in suits face off against each other in a boxing ring.
Bank Shares

CBA vs NAB: Which ASX bank stock has made investors richer over the past year?

CBA and NAB are the largest bank stocks on the ASX by market cap.

Read more »

Buy, hold, and sell ratings written on signs on a wooden pole.
Opinions

With cash profits jumping to $11 billion, are CBA shares now a buy, hold or sell?

CBA enjoyed a very profitable FY 2026. But is the ASX 200 bank stock a buy for FY 2027?

Read more »

Hand holding Australian dollar (AUD) bills, symbolising ex dividend day. Passive income.
Bank Shares

Everything you need to know about the CBA dividend

Let’s look at what payout Commonwealth Bank shareholders can expect.

Read more »

A woman wearing a yellow shirt smiles as she checks her phone.
Earnings Results

Commonwealth Bank of Australia share price on watch as profit and dividend rise in FY26

CBA has declared a fully franked final dividend of $2.70 per share.

Read more »

Time to sell written on a clock.
Broker Notes

Sell alert! Why this expert is calling time on NAB shares

A leading expert forecasts growing headwinds for NAB shares. But why?

Read more »