What is the outlook for the Afterpay (ASX:APT) share price?

The Afterpay share price is rising after a takeover proposal and trading update.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT) share price is rising today after the buy now, pay later business received a big takeover offer.

shaking hands over montage suggesting a takeover or merger

Image source: Getty Images

Takeover offer from Square

Square has proposed to acquire Afterpay in a deal that implies a value of $39 billion for the buy now, pay later business.

Afterpay said the acquisition aims to enable the companies to better deliver compelling financial products and services that expand access to more consumers and drive incremental revenue for merchants of all sizes.

Square expects to pay Afterpay shareholders in new shares. Under the terms, which have been agreed by both sets of boards, Afterpay shareholders will receive a fixed exchange ratio of 0.375 shares of Square for each Afterpay share they own.

Based on Square's last closing price of US$247.26 on 30 July 2021, this represents an implied transaction price of $126.21 per Afterpay share, being a premium of 30.6% to the last Afterpay share price.

The co-founder and CEO of Square, Jack Dorsey, gave some insight into the thinking behind the deal:

Square and Afterpay have a shared purpose. We built our business to make the financial system more fair, accessible, and inclusive, and Afterpay has built a trusted brand aligned with those principles.

Together, we can better connect our cash app and seller ecosystems to deliver even more compelling products and services for merchants and consumers, putting the power back in their hands.

The Afterpay share price is up 23.6% after this offer to $119.50.

Afterpay's trading update

That wasn't the only important news out of the company today.

It also announced its FY21 trading update.

Total underlying sales increased 90% to $21.1 billion. That included $9.8 billion of North American underlying sales (up 148%), $9.4 billion of ANZ underlying sales (up 44%) and $1.8 billion of Clearpay – UK and EU – underlying sales (up 227%).

Group revenue increased 78% to $925 million and merchant revenue rose 90% to $822 million.

Afterpay's gross profit went up 75% to $675 million.

Active merchants grew 77% to 98,200. Total active customers went up 63% to 16.2 million, but whilst North American active customers rose 88% to 10.5 million, ANZ customers only increased by 8% to 3.6 million.

Its merchant revenue margin was in line what it achieved in FY20. Gross losses remained "low" and are expected to be below 1% as percentage of underlying sales for FY21 and broadly in line with FY20.

The net transaction margin for FY21 is expected to be above 2%. But, the FY21 second half declined moderately from the first half predominately driven by a higher contribution from international markets during the period.

What is the outlook for the Afterpay share price?

With the Afterpay share price at $119.50, there is still a 5.6% gap between the current price and the implied value of the offer.

The takeover is not guaranteed to go through at this stage. There are still a number of stages that need to happen for Afterpay to be taken over.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and has recommended AFTERPAY T FPO. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended AFTERPAY T FPO. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on ASX Share Market News

Six smiling health workers pose for a selfie.
ASX Share Market News

ASX 200 healthcare shares lead a weaker market amid 82% chance of a rate hike

Healthcare shares gained 3.76% while the ASX 200 fell 0.11% last week.

Read more »

A man in his office leans back in his chair with his hands behind his head looking out his window at the city.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

Wooden house models on a table with a man using a calculator.
Broker Notes

Why this expert believes it's time to exit positions in REA Group shares

One broker is calling time on this ASX 200 stock.

Read more »

A group of young ASX investors sitting around a laptop with an older lady standing behind them explaining how investing works.
ASX Share Market News

Light & Wonder vs Aristocrat Leisure: Which gaming share wins?

Light & Wonder or Aristocrat Leisure: see how the ASX gaming leaders stack up head-to-head – and which one I’d…

Read more »

Five young people sit in a row having fun and interacting with their mobile phones.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a slightly sour end to the trading week this Friday.

Read more »

Two miners at a mine site on their tablets, with mining machinery behind them.
Share Fallers

Why has the Mineral Resources share price fallen 12% this week?

It’s been another tough week for Mineral Resources shareholders.

Read more »

Graphic depicting Australian economic activity.
ASX Share Market News

ASX 200 slips into the red after a positive start. Here's why

The benchmark index is seesawing again.

Read more »

Happy young couple riding a motorbike together.
Broker Notes

7 ASX 200 shares with reaffirmed buy ratings this week

Brokers retained a positive view on Santos, Zip, AMP, and other shares this week. 

Read more »