Is the Costa (ASX:CGC) share price a bargain buy after its selloff?

The Costa Group Holdings Ltd (ASX:CGC) share price is rebounding after a huge selloff yesterday. Is this a buying opportunity?

| More on:
A woman with black afro hair and wearing a white t-shirt shrugs and purses her lips

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Costa Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: CGC) share price is rebounding from yesterday's selloff.

In morning trade, the horticulture company's shares are up over 1% to $3.41.

Why did the Costa share price crash lower on Thursday?

The Costa share price crashed 24% lower yesterday following the release of its annual general meeting update.

Costa revealed that it is expecting its first half performance to be marginally ahead of the prior corresponding period. This is being driven by weakness in its domestic operations and currency headwinds.

Is this a buying opportunity?

According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts believe the selloff was overdone.

And while the broker has cut its price target by 9% to $4.85, it has held firm with its buy recommendation.

Based on the current Costa share price, this implies potential upside of 42% over the next 12 months.

What did Goldman say?

Goldman said: "CGC has released a trading update at its AGM. Performance across categories has been mixed YTD: international is performing very strongly, but challenges in domestic produce have emerged, particularly in the mushroom operations (labour sourcing) and the Avocado and Tomato categories (price deflation)."

"We see a positive earnings growth trajectory for the company over the medium term driven largely by volume growth from new plantings. However, the challenges observed through this half illustrate the leverage CGC has not only to agricultural conditions (as we saw through 2019), but also to market conditions."

"We think the share price reaction today (-24%) is overdone, and with our revised 12m TP by -9% to A$4.85 providing 44% upside, we retain our Buy recommendation," it concluded.

Goldman made the revision to its price target after reducing its FY 2021/FY 2022/FY 2023 by -22%/-12%/-14%. However, despite these downgrades, the broker still believes Costa can grow its earnings per share by a CAGR of 19% between FY 2020 and FY 2023.

In light of this, with the Costa share price trading at 19x estimated FY 2021, it sees a lot of value here for investors.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended COSTA GRP FPO. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

rising asx share price represented by rollercoaster ride climbing higher
Broker Notes

2 ASX All Ords shares tipped to rip 20% to 85% in 2026

Here are 2 ASX All Ords shares that the experts predict will grow strongly in the new year.

Read more »

Army man and woman on digital devices.
Broker Notes

Bell Potter names the best ASX defence stocks to buy

Wanting exposure to this booming industry? Bell Potter has two picks for you.

Read more »

A little Asian girl is so excited by the bubbles coming out of her bubble machine.
Broker Notes

Wondering which ASX shares to buy for 2026? Experts weigh in

We reveal 4 ASX shares with buy recommendations from the experts.

Read more »

A young man pointing up looking amazed, indicating a surging share price movement for an ASX company
Broker Notes

These ASX 200 shares could rise 50% to 65%

Big things could be coming for buyers of these shares according to analysts.

Read more »

Higher interest rates written on a yellow sign.
Broker Notes

How will interest rate hikes impact the big four ASX banks like CBA shares?

If the RBA hikes interest rates in 2026, what will that mean for ANZ, Westpac, NAB, and CBA shares?

Read more »

A smiling woman holds a Facebook like sign above her head.
Broker Notes

Why Morgans just put buy ratings on these ASX stocks

The broker thinks these stocks could rise 17% to 68%.

Read more »

Business people discussing project on digital tablet.
Broker Notes

How much upside does Macquarie tip for REA Group shares?

Is the broker bullish, bearish, or something in between?

Read more »

A female broker in a red jacket whispers in the ear of a man who has a surprised look on his face as she explains which two ASX 200 shares should do well in today's volatile climate
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »