Why 1 analyst thinks the recent crypto collapse is not so different from 2017

JPMorgan Chase analyst notes that investors have steered away from popular crypto assets and into riskier altcoins and stablecoins.

| More on:
bitcoin image with blue and orange circle

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

While crypto assets rose to new heights earlier this year, and there are now meme-inspired tokens like Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) being touted by Elon Musk, the recent crash of crypto assets is not so different from the one in 2017, says one analyst.

Josh Younger, who leads interest rate derivatives strategy at JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM), wrote in a recent research note that he sees similarities between the big sell-off in 2017 and the one that recently occurred in which Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) fell as much as 50% from its high of around $65,000 per token.

Similar to what happened in 2017, Younger noted that investors have steered away from the popular tokens like Bitcoin and Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) and into riskier altcoins and stablecoins as well.

Younger wrote that this turn and the negative sentiment "should caution any view that the worst is clearly behind us." He added that cryptocurrencies are undergoing a "sizable correction" and that he was unsure of whether the correction is done just yet.

Among the many similarities between 2017 and now, Younger certainly sees differences as well. Notably, there hasn't been the same kind of activity around initial coin offerings as there was in 2017, and there is much more institutional interest in cryptocurrencies now as tokens like Bitcoin are much more ingrained into the traditional financial system. In his research report, Younger wrote:

We continue to see evidence of resilient microstructure in cryptocurrency markets: the volatility spike appears somewhat regionally localized, market depth is down but has not cratered despite these moves, and derivatives pricing has managed to adjust quickly enough to retain a decent fraction of the levered long base ... This all argues against the view that we are in the midst [of a] self-reinforcing vicious cycle of price declines -- a classic run scenario.

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

Bram Berkowitz owns shares of Bitcoin, Dogecoin, and Ethereum. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and recommends Bitcoin. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on International Stock News

Legendary share market investing expert, and owner of Berkshire Hathaway, Warren Buffett.
International Stock News

Warren Buffett, weeks before his retirement, has a warning for Wall Street. History says this may happen in 2026.

Buffett's actions are speaking louder than words.

Read more »

AI written in blue on a digital chip.
International Stock News

Prediction: This will be the world's largest company by year-end 2026 (Hint: It's not Nvidia)

Alphabet could become the world's valuable company by the end of 2026.

Read more »

Delighted adult man, working on a company slogan, on his laptop.
International Stock News

Here's why Nvidia still is a multimillionaire-maker

The company plays a key role in the AI boom.

Read more »

Woman on her laptop thinking to herself.
International Stock News

Amazon is expanding its AI chip ambitions. Should Nvidia investors be worried?

Amazon says customers can save 30% to 40% by using its AI chips over Nvidia's GPUs.

Read more »

Happy man working on his laptop.
International Stock News

1 compelling reason to buy Meta hand over fist right now

Meta offers investors a combination of safety and growth potential.

Read more »

A young woman sits with her hand to her chin staring off to the side thinking about her investments.
International Stock News

Michael Burry just sent a warning to artificial intelligence (AI) stocks. Should Nvidia investors be worried?

Michael Burry of "The Big Short" fame is bearish on artificial intelligence (AI) stocks.

Read more »

Legendary share market investing expert, and owner of Berkshire Hathaway, Warren Buffett.
International Stock News

Is Warren Buffett sending a quiet warning to investors? Here's what you need to know.

Berkshire Hathaway's cash stockpile just reached record heights. Is that a warning sign for investors?

Read more »

Robot hand and human hand touching the same space on a digital screen, symbolising artificial intelligence.
International Stock News

Better $3 trillion AI stock to buy now: Microsoft or Alphabet

Alphabet's stock has surged in recent weeks.

Read more »