Top broker tips REA Group (ASX:REA) share price to rise 20%

The REA Group Limited (ASX:REA) share price could be going 20% higher from here according to one leading broker. Here's why…

| More on:
growth in housing asx shares represented by little wooden houses next to rising red arrow

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The REA Group Limited (ASX: REA) share price has been a strong performer over the last 12 months.

Since this time last year, the property listings company's shares are up a sizeable 67%.

Can the REA Group share price keep climbing?

The good news for investors is that Goldman Sachs believes the REA Group share price can keep on climbing.

In response to its third quarter update last week, the broker has retained its buy rating and lifted its price target on the company's shares to $187.00.

Based on the current REA Group share price of $156.05, this price target implies potential upside of 20% over the next 12 months.

What did Goldman say?

Goldman was pleased with REA Group's performance during the third quarter and expects more of the same in the future. Particularly given its belief that it is winning market share from rival Domain Holdings Australia Ltd (ASX: DHG).

It commented: "For REA, we see a strong near-term earnings outlook, given: (1) April listings +98% yoy (+33% vs. Apr-19), with listings strength continuing into May/Jun (and FY22E) in our view; (2) Strong yield growth, with +8%/+6% price rises in FY22/23E (in line with GSe); (3) Ongoing depth penetration (Premiere All traction, new products gaining strong traction); (4) Share gains vs. DHG – We estimate REA Australia revenue grew +13-14% (Resi > +15%, given +8% listings, > +7% yield) vs. DHG Digital +8% (Resi +11%, with +4% listings, +7% yield); and (5) strong cost discipline, with FY21E costs now marginally higher (was flat) given stronger revenues."

This led to Goldman upgrading its earnings forecasts for FY 2021 through to FY 2023 and its price target accordingly.

Don't forget Move

The broker also advised investors not to overlook the value of REA Group's investment in US-based Move.

It commented: "Despite the strong YTD performance, we still do not believe the market is fully appreciating the value of Move. For example, although: (1) our FY21 revenue for Move of US$615mn is equivalent to 85% of REA FY21E; (2) it is growing materially faster (i.e. +30% in FY21E vs. REA +10% cc); (3) it is meaningfully lower margin, Move should see margin expansion (we expect Move EBITDA margin to increase from 3% in FY20 to c.15% in FY21E vs. REA 58% to 62%). However, despite these strong financial metrics, our above consensus US$6.9bn Move valuation is only 40% of our REA valuation."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended REA Group Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

A smiling woman holds a Facebook like sign above her head.
Broker Notes

Why Morgans just put buy ratings on these ASX stocks

The broker thinks these stocks could rise 17% to 68%.

Read more »

Business people discussing project on digital tablet.
Broker Notes

How much upside does Macquarie tip for REA Group shares?

Is the broker bullish, bearish, or something in between?

Read more »

A female broker in a red jacket whispers in the ear of a man who has a surprised look on his face as she explains which two ASX 200 shares should do well in today's volatile climate
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

A group of young ASX investors sitting around a laptop with an older lady standing behind them explaining how investing works.
Broker Notes

5 ASX shares to buy now: experts

ASX 200 shares are having a ripper day on Friday, as we reveal 5 stocks with buy ratings from the…

Read more »

A happy man and woman on a computer at Christmas, indicating a positive trend for retail shares.
Broker Notes

'Christmas comes early': Why this ASX 200 stock was just upgraded

Santa has delivered an early present to investors according to Bell Potter.

Read more »

Man sits smiling at a computer showing graphs
Broker Notes

Macquarie tips double digit upside for this ASX 200 stock

Is this explosive stock worth a buy?

Read more »

Woman stepping on big rock in a lake.
Broker Notes

Why this buy rated $1 billion ASX All Ords share is tipped to leap 22%

A leading wealth manager expects more outsized gains from this surging ASX All Ords share.

Read more »

A woman presenting company news to investors looks back at the camera and smiles.
Financial Shares

2 ASX financial shares to sell and 1 to buy: experts

The ASX financials index has fallen 9.5% since it peaked at a historical high in October.

Read more »