Goldman Sachs says sell Premier Investments (ASX:PMV) shares into today's big rally

The Premier Investments Limited (ASX: PMV) share price is topping the leader board but Goldman Sachs thinks you should dump the stock now.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Premier Investments Limited (ASX: PMV) share price is topping the leader board but Goldman Sachs thinks you should dump the stock now.

The PMV share price surged over 15% to $25.90 this morning and is the best performer on the  S&P/ASX 200 Index (Index:^AXJO).

The apparel and stationery retailer is miles ahead of the Cimic Group Ltd (ASX: CIM) share price, which is in second spot.

The Oil Search Ltd (ASX: OSH) share price is in third position and both of these jumped by over 5% each.

PMV share price surges on trading update

The rocketing Premier share price comes on the back of a bullish trading update released this morning.

Management said that total sales jumped 5% in the first 24 weeks of 1H21 ended 9 January 2021 to $716.9 million. Online sales were the standout as that jumped 60% over the same time last year to $146.2 million.

The group expects interim earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to jump by as much as 85% to between $221 million and $233 million.

Looking fashionable

Like-for-like (LFL) sales was also outstanding. This key retail measure that compares sales of stores opened for at least a year jumped 26.2% in Australia and 18% globally.

The group's online sales commands a significantly higher EBIT margin than the EBIT margin of the retail store network.

Management also highlighted outstanding sales and gross margin growth in Peter Alexander, Just Jeans and Jay Jays in both Australia and New Zealand.

Better than expected but still not enough

The total sales figure exceeded Goldman Sachs' first half forecast of $664 million but that wasn't enough to impress the broker.

"This is a significantly stronger profit than expected, demonstrating a strong sales surge driving expanded gross margin and operating leverage as consumer spending recovered across some apparel categories," said Goldman.

"Operating costs are likely to have benefited from temporary benefits at start of this financial year (e.g. Jobkeeper), but this was expected to be more muted in 1H21 versus 2H20 and likely much less important than the operating leverage impact from strong comparable store sales growth provided in this update."

Is the PMV share price a buy or sell?

Goldman Sachs reiterated its "sell" recommendation on the PMV share price with a 12-month price target of $19.20 a share.

If the broker is right, the Premier share price will need to crash by more than a quarter to reach fair value.

Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Premier Investments Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Share Gainers

An old-fashioned panel of judges each holding a card with the number 10
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a happy hump day for investors.

Read more »

Concept image of a businessman riding a bull on an upwards arrow.
Share Gainers

How these 3 ASX 200 mining stocks have more than tripled investors' money in a year

These large-cap ASX mining shares have rocketed 207% to 379% in a year. But how?

Read more »

Smiling couple looking at a phone at a bargain opportunity.
Share Gainers

Why AIC Mines, EOS, Flight Centre, and Nickel Industries shares are racing higher today

These shares are having a good session on hump day. What's driving this?

Read more »

An old-fashioned panel of judges each holding a card with the number 10
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

ASX shares had a near miss this Tuesday.

Read more »

A graphic showing a businessman running up a white upwards rising arrow symbolising the soaring Magellan share price today
Share Gainers

How is this $1.2 billion ASX All Ords share rocketing 17% in Tuesday's sinking market?

The ASX All Ords share is surging in Tuesday’s slumping market. But why?

Read more »

Multiracial happy young people stacking hands outside - University students hugging in college campus - Youth community concept with guys and girls standing together supporting each other.
Share Gainers

Why Clinuvel, Elevra Lithium, Regis Resources, and SCEE shares are racing higher today

These shares are having a good session on Tuesday. But why?

Read more »

Two friends giving each other a high five at the top pf a hill.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a euphoric return to trading for ASX shares.

Read more »

Three trophies in declining sizes with a red curtain backdrop.
Share Gainers

3 ASX 200 stocks leaping higher this week on big announcements

Investors sent these three ASX 200 stocks surging in this King's Birthday shortened trading week. But why?

Read more »