Is the CBA (ASX:CBA) share price overvalued?

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX:CBA) share price is up 18% in November. Is it overvalued now?

| More on:
customer making payment at a cafe using CBA albert

Image Source: Commonwealth Bank

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) share price has been a very strong performer in November.

Since the start of the month, the CBA share price has climbed an impressive 18% to $81.33.

Is it too late to buy CBA shares?

According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, investors might be better off looking at other investment options in the banking sector.

Its analysts have recently retained their sell rating but lifted the price target on the bank's shares slightly to $65.84.

This price target implies potential downside of 19% for its shares over the next 12 months excluding dividends.

Why is Goldman Sachs bearish on the banking giant?

Goldman Sachs has issues over the bank's valuation and the premium its shares trade at in comparison to the rest of the big four.

Following the release of its first quarter update this month, the broker said: "While CBA's balance sheet is strong, with a sector leading capital and provisioning position, CBA's operational performance in 1Q21, particularly as it relates to costs, does not justify the 24% premium it is currently trading on versus peers (versus 15% 15-yr average)."

Which bank does the broker like?

Goldman Sachs' top pick in the sector is National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB).

It explained: "NAB remains our preferred major bank exposure, based on i) our view that it will deliver better than peer revenue growth, supported by its superior management of the volume/margin trade-off, ii) its investment spend which appears further progressed relative to peers allowing it to be more selective towards where resources are directed, contributing to its broadly flat FY21 cost target (c.0-2%), and iii) when combined, drives our forecast for NAB to deliver top of peer PPOP per share growth over the next three years."

However, it is worth noting that the broker put a price target of $22.96 on NAB's shares last week. But due to its strong share price gain, it is actually now trading above this at $23.60.

I suspect that Goldman Sachs will revisit its recommendation following NAB's annual general meeting in the coming weeks. So stay tuned for that.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

An old-fashioned panel of judges each holding a card with the number 10
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a Garfield kind of Monday for investors.

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to snap up these shares.

Read more »

Bored man sitting at his desk with his laptop.
Share Fallers

Why ASX, CSL, Galan Lithium, and NextDC shares are dropping today

These shares are starting the week in the red. Let's find out why.

Read more »

a young woman raises her hands in joyful celebration as she sits at her computer in a home environment.
Share Gainers

Why 4DMedical, EOS, Gorilla Gold, and Neuren shares are racing higher today

These shares are starting the week with a bang. Here's why.

Read more »

A woman smiles over the top of multiple shopping bags she is holding in both hands up near her face.
Broker Notes

Broker tips 68% upside for Myer shares following brutal sell-off

Could a turnaround be on the cards?

Read more »

a woman holds her hands to her temples as she sits in front of a computer screen with a concerned look on her face.
Share Market News

These are the 10 most shorted ASX shares

Let's see which shares short sellers are targeting this week.

Read more »

Two cheerful miners shake hands while wearing hi-vis and hard hats celebrating the commencement of a HAstings Technology Metals mine and the impact on its share price
Share Market News

Westgold unveils spin-out of non-core Reedy and Comet gold assets

Westgold Resources will demerge its non-core gold assets to Valiant Gold via an IPO, aiming to unlock value for shareholders.

Read more »

A senior couple discusses a share trade they are making on a laptop computer
Share Market News

IperionX secures US Navy deal with Carver Pump order

IperionX secures Carver Pump order for US Navy, signalling accelerating production of critical titanium components.

Read more »