The Redbubble (ASX:RBL) share price rocketed 25% higher today: Is it a buy?

The Redbubble Ltd (ASX:RBL) share price has been on fire on Thursday. Is it too late to buy this ecommerce star?

| More on:
asx share price increase represented by golden dollar sign rocketing out from white domes of lithium

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Redbubble Ltd (ASX: RBL) share price has been an exceptionally strong performer on Thursday.

At one stage today the ecommerce company's shares were up a massive 25% to a record high of $6.02.

In afternoon trade the Redbubble share price has given back a good portion of these gains but is still up a sizeable 8% to $5.20.

Why is the Redbubble share price on fire on Thursday?

Investors have been fighting to get hold of Redbubble's shares following the release of an impressive first quarter update.

That update revealed that Redbubble's strong growth has continued into FY 2021, with Marketplace Revenue growing 116% over the prior corresponding period to $147.5 million.

Pleasingly, margin expansion led to its gross profit growing at an even quicker rate of 149% to $64.5 million.

But perhaps best of all, was that Redbubble delivered first quarter earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) of $22.1 million. This compares to a loss before interest and tax of $1.5 million a year earlier.

How did this compare with expectations?

According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, Redbubble delivered quarterly revenue in line with its expectations.

It commented: "Marketplace revenue (product & shipping) for the Redbubble Group (Redbubble & TeePublic marketplaces) in 1Q21 was A$147.5mn, up 116% on pcp (+122% in cc.) and in line with our expectation of A$146.8mn."

One metric which is outpacing the broker's forecasts is its gross profit margin.

"Gross profit margin for Redbubble Group was 43.7% in 1Q21, versus 37.8% in 1Q20 and 41.6% in 4Q20. This is currently materially ahead of our FY21E expectation of 39.2%," Goldman explained.

This ultimately led to its EBIT margin also tracking significantly ahead of Goldman Sachs' expectations for a margin of 9.6% in FY 2021.

It said: "Redbubble Group 1Q21 operating EBIT was A$24.8mn, up from A$0.0mn in 1Q20. This excludes A$2.7mn in other income/ expenses in 1Q21. Operating EBIT margin was 16.8% (for context, 4Q20 was 4.7% and GSe FY21E 9.6%)."

Is Redbubble a buy?

While Goldman Sachs has retained its buy rating and $5.20 price target on its shares, I suspect it will revisit its valuation in the near term.

One thing the broker will no doubt be weighing up when reassessing its valuation is the sustainability of its margins, which are being positively impacted by heightened sales of fashionable face masks during the pandemic.

Goldman commented: "We would expect the market to focus on the sustainability of the strength on GP Margin and the contribution that face masks may be making to its revenues (noting that in its August update, face masks were around 28% of revenues in July)."

If it believes these strong margins are sustainable, I suspect a price target increase could be coming.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Growth Shares

a man holds a firework sparkler in both hands as a shower of sparkly confetti falls from the sky around him as he smiles and closes his eyes in a celebratory scene.
Growth Shares

Happy New Year: Here are two ASX stocks to watch going into 2026

Analysts are expecting big things from these shares this year.

Read more »

Two people jump and high five above a city skyline.
Growth Shares

The top ASX growth stocks that could rebound in 2026 after a brutal year

Analysts see potential for these shares to rebound strongly next year.

Read more »

A man and woman sit next to each other looking at each other and feeling excited and surprised after reading good news about their shares on a laptop.
Growth Shares

The Australian stocks I'd trust for the next 10 years

It is no surprise that brokers rate these stocks as buys.

Read more »

A smartly-dressed businesswoman walks outside while making a trade on her mobile phone.
Growth Shares

2 stocks to help turn $100,000 into $1 million

You don’t need moonshots to build wealth.

Read more »

A happy young couple lie on a wooden deck using a skateboard for a pillow.
Growth Shares

10 ASX shares I would buy in 2026

I think these are among the best stocks to buy for an ASX share portfolio in the new year.

Read more »

A man points at a paper as he holds an alarm clock, indicating the ex-dividend date is approaching.
Growth Shares

In 2036, you will be glad you bought these ASX shares today

Want to make long term investments? I think these shares could be top picks.

Read more »

fintech, smart investor, happy investor, technology shares,
Growth Shares

These ASX 200 growth shares could be much bigger in 2035

Want to make buy and hold investments? Analysts think these shares could be top picks.

Read more »

A group of businesspeople clapping.
Growth Shares

These could be 3 of the best ASX stocks to own in 2026

Analysts think these shares are best buys for the year ahead. Let's see what they offer.

Read more »