Are NAB shares a bargain buy?

The National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX:NAB) share price is up 18% from in its 52-week low. Is it still a bargain buy? One broker says it is.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) share price continued its positive run on Wednesday and pushed higher again.

The banking giant's shares are now up 18% from the 52-week low they dropped to in March.

a woman

Is it too late to invest?

While NAB is not my number one pick, I still believe its shares would be great options at the current level.

Times may be hard for the bank right now, but the cycle will eventually change and a return to better days will come. I feel this could make it worth being patient and buying its shares with a long term view.

I'm not alone in labelling NAB a buy.

Who else likes NAB?

Earlier this week analysts at Goldman Sachs reiterated their conviction buy rating and $17.50 price target on the bank's shares.

With its shares currently changing hands at $15.60, this price target implies potential upside of greater than 12% over the next 12 months excluding dividends.

But if you include the fully franked dividends of $1.05 per share Goldman Sachs expects NAB to pay in FY 2021, this potential return stretches to almost 19%.

Why does Goldman Sachs like NAB?

The broker likes NAB due to the dramatic improvement in its operational performance in recent years. This has particularly been the case with how it manages the volume versus margin trade-off.

In addition to this, it expects NAB's revenue momentum over the medium term to remain superior to its peers. This is expected to be driven by its overweight exposure to SME lending, which Goldman Sachs views as both a relative volume and margin tailwind versus housing.

Another reason it is positive on NAB is its costs focus. This has seen NAB deliver flat expense growth in FY 2019 and FY 2020 excluding notable items.

All these positives are expected to combine and drive the strongest pre-provision operating profit (PPOP) growth among its peers. Which, considering its 15% PPOP multiple discount to peers, Goldman Sachs feels NAB is the standout pick in the sector.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

A woman wearing the black and yellow corporate colours of a leading bank gazes out the window in thought as she holds a tablet in her hands.
Bank Shares

CBA shares vs Macquarie shares: Which ASX financial stock would I buy?

Two ASX financial shares, two very different investment cases. Here’s which one I would choose for the long term.

Read more »

Model house with coins and a piggy bank.
Bank Shares

How many Westpac shares do I need to buy for $10,000 of passive income?

Westpac investors could receive plenty of dividend income.

Read more »

Three businesspeople leap high with the CBD in the background.
Bank Shares

Which ASX 200 bank stock is jumping 12% on big news?

This stock is ending the week with a bang. Let's find out why.

Read more »

A group of market analysts sit and stand around their computers in an open-plan office environment.
Bank Shares

Judo upsizes $750m securitisation to boost capital and ROE

Judo has strengthened its capital position with a $750 million securitisation, boosting its CET1 ratio and future return on equity.

Read more »

A group of three people in a bank setting with one customer.
Bank Shares

Buy, hold, sell: ANZ, Macquarie, Westpac shares

What do the experts think of these ASX 200 bank shares?

Read more »

A male executive worker wearing glasses and a blue collared shirt looks at his laptop screen with a concerned look on his face and his hand to his forehead as he watches his screen.
Economy

Investors are celebrating yesterday's inflation news. Here's how it might impact ASX financial stocks

Australia's April CPI surprised to the downside, lifting ASX financial stocks. Here's why the ASX inflation picture is more complex…

Read more »

Frustrated and shocked business woman reading bad news online from phone.
Bank Shares

Westpac shares sink after court calls conduct 'grossly negligent'

A court ruling is weighing on Westpac shares today.

Read more »

A woman gives two fist pumps with a big smile as she learns of her windfall, sitting at her desk.
Share Market News

CBA shares rebound 7%: Is the banking giant a buy, sell or hold?

Find out what is driving the rebound, and what the experts expect next.

Read more »