Google parent Alphabet's earnings: Will they soar past expectations again?

Here's what to watch when the search engine giant reports Q3 earnings.

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

Google parent Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOG) (NASDAQ: GOOGL) is slated to report its third-quarter 2019 results after the market close on Monday, Oct. 28.

The tech behemoth is going into its report on a solid note. Last quarter, it breezed by Wall Street's earnings expectations, though revenue came in a little lighter than analysts had projected.

Alphabet Class A and C shares have gained 16.3% and 17.4%, respectively, in 2019 through Friday, Oct. 11. The S&P 500 has returned 20.4% over this period. Alphabet stock, however, remains an outperformer for periods of one year and longer.

Here's what to watch when Alphabet reports.

Key quarterly numbers

Here are Alphabet's year-ago results and Wall Street's estimates to use as benchmarks. The company doesn't provide guidance.

Metric Q3 2018 Result Wall Street's Q3 2019 Consensus Wall Street's Projected Change

Revenue

$33.74 billion

$40.34 billion

19.6%

Adjusted earnings per share (EPS)

$13.06

$12.41

(5%) 

Data sources: Alphabet and Yahoo! Finance.

CFO Ruth Porat said on last quarter's earnings call that the company expected continued foreign exchange headwinds in the third quarter. Such headwinds negatively impact both revenue and operating income (and, thus, earnings).

Investors can expect that Alphabet will continue to invest to support long-term growth. While this is a positive for investors focused on the long haul, it does negatively impact current operating income and earnings. 

Segment results

For context, here are last quarter's results by segment:

Segment Q2 2019 Revenue Growth (YOY) Q2 2019 Operating Income  Growth (YOY)

Google

$38.8 billion

19%

$10.4 billion

16%

Other bets (formerly "Moonshots")

$162 million

12%

($989 million)

Loss widened 35%

Total 

$38.9 billion

19%

$9.2 billion 201%*

Data sources: Alphabet and Yahoo! Finance. YOY = year over year. *Includes the impact of a 4.34 billion euros (about $5.1 billion) European Commission fine in Q2 2018. Excluding this fine, operating income grew 13.1% in Q2 2019.

In constant currency, revenue grew 22% -- an acceleration from the first quarter's 19%, though slightly lower than the fourth quarter of 2018's 23%. Within Google, revenue breakdown was as follows:

  • Google properties ("sites"): an 18% increase to $27.3 billion
  • Google network members' properties: a 9.1% rise to $5.3 billion
  • Total Google advertising (above two categories): a 16% increase to $32.6 billion, driven by mobile search and YouTube. 
  • Google "other revenue": a 40% jump to $6.2 billion, driven by strong growth in Cloud and Play

As has been the trend for some time, Alphabet's costs increased faster than its revenue in the second quarter. This resulted in the adjusted operating margin edging down to 24%, from 25% in the year-ago period. 

Google: Ad revenue growth

As always, investors should primarily focus on revenue growth in the company's main business: advertising. Last quarter's ad sales growth of 16.1% year over year represented an acceleration from the first quarter's growth of 15.3%, but in general, this metric has been decelerating on a sequential basis. In the two preceding quarters, it was 19.9% (Q4 2018) and 20.3% (Q3).

Other bets: Waymo update

Investors can expect management to provide an update on the earnings call about Waymo's progress and plans. Since late last year, Alphabet's self-driving vehicle subsidiary has been operating a ride-hailing service in Phoenix, Waymo One. On last quarter's earnings call, CFO Porat said the service has over 1,000 active riders. Just last week, Waymo announced that it has entered Los Angeles with several vehicles for 3D mapping purposes. 

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

Beth McKenna has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and recommends Alphabet (A shares) and Alphabet (C shares). The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Alphabet (A shares) and Alphabet (C shares). We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on International Stock News

Guy delivering Amazon parcel.
International Stock News

Is Amazon (AMZN) a Buy, Sell, or Hold in 2026?

Amazon's stock lagged the market in 2025, but is that the whole story? Here's what massive AI investments mean for…

Read more »

A tech worker wearing a mask holds a computer chip.
International Stock News

Prediction: This AI stock will be the most surprising winner of 2026

Nvidia's stock has been weak over the past month, but that could change in 2026.

Read more »

Legendary share market investing expert, and owner of Berkshire Hathaway, Warren Buffett.
International Stock News

Warren Buffett, weeks before his retirement, has a warning for Wall Street. History says this may happen in 2026.

Buffett's actions are speaking louder than words.

Read more »

AI written in blue on a digital chip.
International Stock News

Prediction: This will be the world's largest company by year-end 2026 (Hint: It's not Nvidia)

Alphabet could become the world's valuable company by the end of 2026.

Read more »

Delighted adult man, working on a company slogan, on his laptop.
International Stock News

Here's why Nvidia still is a multimillionaire-maker

The company plays a key role in the AI boom.

Read more »

Woman on her laptop thinking to herself.
International Stock News

Amazon is expanding its AI chip ambitions. Should Nvidia investors be worried?

Amazon says customers can save 30% to 40% by using its AI chips over Nvidia's GPUs.

Read more »

Happy man working on his laptop.
International Stock News

1 compelling reason to buy Meta hand over fist right now

Meta offers investors a combination of safety and growth potential.

Read more »

A young woman sits with her hand to her chin staring off to the side thinking about her investments.
International Stock News

Michael Burry just sent a warning to artificial intelligence (AI) stocks. Should Nvidia investors be worried?

Michael Burry of "The Big Short" fame is bearish on artificial intelligence (AI) stocks.

Read more »